Indiana State logo

Indiana State

11-21
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
1.0%Indiana State
99.0%Duke
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADDuke -29.5
PROJECTED TOTAL147.9
MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -9900
Duke logo

Duke

35-3
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreIndiana State 59
Projected Total147.9
Projected ScoreDuke 89

Team Comparison

44.4MMH Power Index81.7
104.7Offensive Efficiency122.2
106.0Defensive Efficiency95.2
-1.3Net Efficiency27.0
0.1Strength of Schedule7.8
-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7
70.3Tempo66.8
53.6%Effective FG%56.9%
19.5%Turnover Rate15.9%
27.3%Offensive Rebound %38.2%
28.8%Free Throw Rate39.0%
-0.9Average Margin18.0
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY99.0%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
11–0
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–44.4), offensive efficiency (122.2–104.7), defensive efficiency (95.2–106.0), net efficiency (27.0–-1.3).
Final
Indiana State logo
Indiana State
62—100
Duke logo
Duke
Duke by 38 • 76.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATDuke
22-61FG38-71
36.0%FG%54.0%
9-303PT10-28
30.0%3PT%36.0%
9-15FT14-21
60.0%FT%67.0%
27Rebounds48
10Offensive Rebounds16
14Assists22
18Turnovers12
11Steals13
1Blocks13
17Fouls18

Player Box Score

Indiana State
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Sterling YoungG265-113-61-110100014
Ian ScottF255-61-12-231410013
Camp WagnerG294-153-120-054100011
Markus HardingC182-71-31-20010006
Enel St. BernardF163-60-00-12000006
Xavier HallG351-60-22-23620004
Derek VorstC191-30-02-54120004
Bruno AlocenG131-31-31-21000004
Jayan WalkerG60-20-10-01000000
Zyair GreeneG50-10-10-02000000
Caden HuttenlockerG30-00-00-00000000
Cooper BeanG30-00-00-00200000
Sivert Waerstad NordheimG20-10-10-00000000
Duke
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Cameron BoozerF2913-162-27-11125330035
Caleb FosterG235-122-52-442100014
Dame SarrG184-62-40-011200010
Nikolas KhameniaG253-71-32-26510009
Patrick Ngongba IIC214-60-11-28204009
Darren HarrisG132-52-52-23000008
Maliq BrownF173-40-10-03222006
Isaiah EvansG192-81-50-03322005
Cayden BoozerG242-50-10-03121004
Ifeanyi UfochukwuC50-10-00-00001000
Jack ScottG30-00-00-02000000
Cameron SheffieldG30-10-10-01100000

Advanced Game Stats

76.6Possessions76.6
80.9Offensive Efficiency130.5
130.5Defensive Efficiency80.9
-49.6Net Efficiency49.6
43.4%Effective FG%60.6%
45.5%True Shooting %61.7%
23.6%Turnover Rate15.6%
24.6%Free Throw Rate29.6%
49.2%3-Point Rate39.4%
0.78Assist / Turnover1.83
Game Summary
Duke won by 38 points. The game played at approximately 76.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.