Eastern Illinois

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.0%Eastern Illinois

96.0%Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKentucky -20.1

PROJECTED TOTAL147.1

MODEL MONEYLINEKentucky -2400

Kentucky

22-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEastern Illinois 64

Projected Total147.1

Projected ScoreKentucky 84

Team Comparison

Eastern IllinoisMetricKentucky

39.9MMH Power Index63.9

99.6Offensive Efficiency115.2

104.4Defensive Efficiency106.3

-4.8Net Efficiency8.9

-2.4Strength of Schedule8.7

-4.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

67.4Tempo69.9

47.5%Effective FG%53.2%

18.5%Turnover Rate15.4%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

33.7%Free Throw Rate38.0%

-3.2Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMKentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.9–39.9), offensive efficiency (115.2–99.6), net efficiency (8.9–-4.8), strength of schedule (8.7–-2.4).

Eastern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.4–106.3).

Final

Eastern Illinois

53—99

Kentucky

Kentucky by 46 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Eastern IllinoisTEAM STATKentucky

17-52FG39-64

33.0%FG%61.0%

6-183PT9-25

33.0%3PT%36.0%

13-19FT12-16

68.0%FT%75.0%

17Rebounds49

5Offensive Rebounds16

11Assists21

11Turnovers13

8Steals8

4Blocks5

12Fouls16

Player Box Score

Eastern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terry McMorris	F	32	5-10	0-0	8-10	4	2	2	3	18
Andrew Austin	F	19	4-8	3-6	2-5	0	2	0	0	13
JT Elder	G	17	3-6	2-4	0-0	0	0	2	0	8
Kooper Jacobi	F	35	2-13	1-4	1-2	4	2	0	0	6
Meechie White	G	33	2-6	0-2	2-2	3	3	2	0	6
Markus Blackwell	G	25	1-7	0-1	0-0	1	2	2	1	2
Malik Olafioye	G	22	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Prince Johnson	F	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mouhamed Dioubate	F	22	8-9	0-1	4-5	11	1	2	2	20
Denzel Aberdeen	G	23	6-9	1-3	0-0	3	1	2	0	13
Otega Oweh	G	18	4-7	0-1	4-4	2	3	0	0	12
Malachi Moreno	C	20	4-7	0-0	3-5	6	2	0	0	11
Andrija Jelavic	F	15	5-9	1-4	0-0	7	0	1	0	11
Trent Noah	F	22	3-6	2-5	0-0	3	0	2	1	8
Jasper Johnson	G	19	3-7	2-4	0-0	5	7	0	0	8
Kam Williams	G	21	2-4	2-4	0-0	2	2	1	0	6
Brandon Garrison	F	19	3-3	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	1	6
Collin Chandler	G	20	1-2	1-2	1-2	2	4	0	1	4
Walker Horn	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

78.2Offensive Efficiency146.0

146.0Defensive Efficiency78.2

-67.8Net Efficiency67.8

38.5%Effective FG%68.0%

43.4%True Shooting %69.1%

16.4%Turnover Rate19.0%

36.5%Free Throw Rate25.0%

34.6%3-Point Rate39.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.62

Game Summary

Kentucky won by 46 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.