Samford

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.0%Samford

90.0%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -14.9

PROJECTED TOTAL167.7

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -900

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSamford 76

Projected Total167.7

Projected ScoreArkansas 91

Team Comparison

SamfordMetricArkansas

54.1MMH Power Index69.3

113.5Offensive Efficiency122.2

108.3Defensive Efficiency109.8

5.2Net Efficiency12.4

-2.9Strength of Schedule8.6

14.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

69.5Tempo73.8

54.0%Effective FG%56.4%

13.3%Turnover Rate12.2%

25.3%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

42.5%Free Throw Rate36.5%

3.6Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–54.1), offensive efficiency (122.2–113.5), net efficiency (12.4–5.2), strength of schedule (8.6–-2.9).

Samford COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (108.3–109.8), recent form (14.0–3.4), free throw rate (42.5–36.5).

Final

Samford

75—79

Arkansas

Arkansas by 4 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SamfordTEAM STATArkansas

28-68FG28-62

41.0%FG%45.0%

10-293PT6-17

34.0%3PT%35.0%

9-10FT17-22

90.0%FT%77.0%

37Rebounds38

9Offensive Rebounds9

17Assists13

8Turnovers9

5Steals5

—Blocks4

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Samford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Cade Norris	G	31	6-8	3-5	0-0	6	4	1	15
Zion Wilburn	G	17	6-9	3-4	0-0	4	0	0	15
Jadin Booth	G	33	3-15	2-10	6-6	2	3	1	14
Dylan Faulkner	F	22	6-10	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	13
Keaton Norris	G	33	4-10	1-4	2-2	4	5	1	11
Jaxon Pollard	F	20	2-4	1-3	0-0	6	0	0	5
Isaiah Campbell-Finch	G	18	1-6	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	2
Will Shaver	C	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	2	1	0
Kam Martin	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	3	1	0
Judson Bjornstad	F	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Acuff Jr.	G	31	7-13	2-3	4-5	3	5	0	0	20
Meleek Thomas	G	36	5-13	1-2	6-6	8	4	2	1	17
Trevon Brazile	F	23	6-14	1-5	2-3	7	0	0	1	15
D.J. Wagner	G	28	3-5	1-2	3-4	3	2	1	0	10
Billy Richmond III	G	27	4-7	1-3	1-2	5	0	1	1	10
Karter Knox	G	27	2-5	0-1	0-0	6	2	0	0	4
Malique Ewin	F	8	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Isaiah Sealy	G	2	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	1	0	1
Nick Pringle	F	18	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

103.9Offensive Efficiency109.4

109.4Defensive Efficiency103.9

-5.5Net Efficiency5.5

48.5%Effective FG%50.0%

51.5%True Shooting %54.5%

11.1%Turnover Rate12.4%

14.7%Free Throw Rate35.5%

42.6%3-Point Rate27.4%

2.13Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.