Colgate

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.7%Colgate

97.3%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -23.0

PROJECTED TOTAL153.8

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -3604

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColgate 65

Projected Total153.8

Projected ScoreIllinois 88

Team Comparison

ColgateMetricIllinois

48.8MMH Power Index76.5

111.7Offensive Efficiency125.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency103.3

2.7Net Efficiency21.7

-2.0Strength of Schedule6.7

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

68.4Tempo66.5

54.5%Effective FG%54.8%

14.8%Turnover Rate13.1%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

30.0%Free Throw Rate33.8%

1.8Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–48.8), offensive efficiency (125.0–111.7), defensive efficiency (103.3–109.0), net efficiency (21.7–2.7).

Final

Colgate

65—84

Illinois

Illinois by 19 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ColgateTEAM STATIllinois

26-62FG26-69

42.0%FG%38.0%

5-193PT11-37

26.0%3PT%30.0%

8-9FT21-24

89.0%FT%88.0%

29Rebounds49

6Offensive Rebounds19

9Assists12

5Turnovers7

4Steals3

1Blocks5

18Fouls12

Player Box Score

Colgate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrew Alekseyenko	F	30	8-16	1-3	4-5	6	1	1	0	21
Jalen Cox	G	33	5-12	0-2	2-2	6	4	1	1	12
Sam Wright	F	24	4-11	1-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	9
Josh Ahayere	G	20	3-7	1-4	2-2	3	1	1	0	9
Brady Cummins	G	25	2-5	2-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Ayomi Odetoyinbo	F	16	3-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Kyle Carlesimo	G	20	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Ben Tweedy	G	22	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	0
Cooper Wright	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ethan Brown	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David Mirkovic	F	38	8-16	3-7	8-8	21	3	0	0	27
Keaton Wagler	G	34	4-11	2-6	9-11	6	2	1	0	19
Kylan Boswell	G	31	5-16	1-6	0-0	4	4	2	0	11
Ben Humrichous	F	23	4-9	2-6	0-0	5	1	0	2	10
Andrej Stojakovic	G	27	3-11	1-6	2-3	4	2	0	0	9
Jake Davis	F	24	1-5	1-5	2-2	3	0	0	1	5
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	16	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Jason Jakstys	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

97.2Offensive Efficiency125.6

125.6Defensive Efficiency97.2

-28.4Net Efficiency28.4

46.0%Effective FG%45.7%

49.0%True Shooting %52.2%

7.7%Turnover Rate10.2%

14.5%Free Throw Rate34.8%

30.6%3-Point Rate53.6%

1.80Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Illinois won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.