BYU

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.0%BYU

77.0%UConn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL152.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -335

UConn

34-5

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBYU 72

Projected Total152.5

Projected ScoreUConn 80

Team Comparison

BYUMetricUConn

63.9MMH Power Index70.2

118.3Offensive Efficiency116.3

106.8Defensive Efficiency98.4

11.5Net Efficiency17.9

6.5Strength of Schedule6.3

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency9.4

70.6Tempo66.2

54.7%Effective FG%55.0%

15.2%Turnover Rate16.4%

33.7%Offensive Rebound %35.4%

35.4%Free Throw Rate30.7%

8.1Average Margin11.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–63.9), defensive efficiency (98.4–106.8), net efficiency (17.9–11.5), recent form (9.4–-2.2).

BYU COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.3–116.3), strength of schedule (6.5–6.3), ball security (15.2–16.4).

Final

BYU

84—86

UConn

UConn by 2 • 74.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BYUTEAM STATUConn

29-59FG30-53

49.0%FG%57.0%

8-263PT8-18

31.0%3PT%44.0%

18-23FT18-27

78.0%FT%67.0%

28Rebounds27

10Offensive Rebounds7

7Assists21

14Turnovers16

10Steals7

1Blocks4

22Fouls21

Player Box Score

BYU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Dybantsa	F	34	8-14	2-3	7-10	6	0	2	0	25
Richie Saunders	G	34	6-14	0-7	5-6	4	1	1	0	17
Robert Wright III	G	36	7-12	2-6	0-0	0	4	1	0	16
Dawson Baker	G	24	3-5	3-4	3-3	0	1	2	0	12
Mihailo Boškovic	F	16	2-8	0-5	0-0	5	0	1	0	4
Tyler Mrus	F	14	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Xavion Staton	C	8	1-2	0-0	1-1	2	1	0	0	3
Khadim Mboup	F	22	1-1	0-0	0-1	6	0	1	1	2
Dominique Diomande	F	4	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	0	2
Keba Keita	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alex Karaban	F	39	8-11	4-4	1-1	3	1	2	1	21
Silas Demary Jr.	G	36	6-12	1-2	8-11	5	7	2	0	21
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	34	8-10	0-0	5-9	8	2	0	2	21
Jayden Ross	F	12	4-6	2-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	10
Solo Ball	G	23	2-6	1-5	3-4	5	2	0	1	8
Jaylin Stewart	F	29	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	4	1	0	2
Eric Reibe	C	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Malachi Smith	G	22	0-3	0-1	1-2	1	4	2	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

74.4Possessions74.4

112.9Offensive Efficiency115.6

115.6Defensive Efficiency112.9

-2.7Net Efficiency2.7

55.9%Effective FG%64.2%

60.1%True Shooting %65.3%

18.9%Turnover Rate21.4%

39.0%Free Throw Rate50.9%

44.1%3-Point Rate34.0%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

UConn won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 74.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.