Houston

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

68.6%Houston

31.4%Auburn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHouston -5.1

PROJECTED TOTAL152.7

MODEL MONEYLINEHouston -218

Auburn

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHouston 79

Projected Total152.7

Projected ScoreAuburn 74

Team Comparison

HoustonMetricAuburn

76MMH Power Index64.4

118.4Offensive Efficiency118.8

95.9Defensive Efficiency113.0

22.5Net Efficiency5.8

5.9Strength of Schedule7.5

18.9Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

65.2Tempo69.8

52.3%Effective FG%53.1%

12.9%Turnover Rate14.5%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %36.5%

26.9%Free Throw Rate43.8%

14.7Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Houston HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHouston holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.0–64.4), defensive efficiency (95.9–113.0), net efficiency (22.5–5.8), recent form (18.9–8.0).

Auburn COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.8–118.4), strength of schedule (7.5–5.9), shooting efficiency (53.1–52.3).

Final

Houston

73—72

Auburn

Houston by 1 • 66.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

HoustonTEAM STATAuburn

28-65FG22-58

43.0%FG%38.0%

7-243PT7-22

29.0%3PT%32.0%

10-12FT21-33

83.0%FT%64.0%

40Rebounds38

14Offensive Rebounds15

15Assists11

10Turnovers8

7Steals5

6Blocks2

23Fouls14

Player Box Score

Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kingston Flemings	G	35	8-13	1-3	5-6	5	7	0	1	22
Chris Cenac Jr.	F	26	8-10	2-3	0-0	9	0	0	1	18
Emanuel Sharp	G	38	5-15	2-7	1-2	3	2	1	1	13
Milos Uzan	G	30	4-11	1-4	2-2	1	2	1	0	11
Isiah Harwell	G	21	1-4	1-3	2-2	3	1	2	0	5
Joseph Tugler	F	22	2-8	0-0	0-0	7	2	2	1	4
Kalifa Sakho	F	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	1	0
Chase McCarty	F	8	0-4	0-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Mercy Miller	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	0

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keyshawn Hall	F	29	6-16	0-3	8-8	11	1	1	0	20
Tahaad Pettiford	G	33	5-14	3-8	2-3	1	1	2	2	15
Kevin Overton	G	33	2-7	2-5	7-11	5	1	0	0	13
KeShawn Murphy	F	31	3-6	0-0	1-2	5	3	0	0	7
Elyjah Freeman	G	30	3-9	1-3	0-1	3	2	1	0	7
Sebastian Williams-Adams	F	26	2-2	0-0	3-8	4	2	0	0	7
Kaden Magwood	G	7	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Filip Jovic	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Abdul Bashir	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Blake Muschalek	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.7Possessions66.7

109.4Offensive Efficiency107.9

107.9Defensive Efficiency109.4

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

48.5%Effective FG%44.0%

51.6%True Shooting %48.9%

15.0%Turnover Rate12.0%

18.5%Free Throw Rate56.9%

36.9%3-Point Rate37.9%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Houston won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 66.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.