Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.7%Michigan State

46.3%Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL153.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -116

Kentucky

22-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 77

Projected Total153.2

Projected ScoreKentucky 77

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricKentucky

69.8MMH Power Index63.9

117.0Offensive Efficiency115.2

101.5Defensive Efficiency106.3

15.5Net Efficiency8.9

7.2Strength of Schedule8.7

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

67.3Tempo69.9

54.1%Effective FG%53.2%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.4%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

36.6%Free Throw Rate38.0%

10.5Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–63.9), offensive efficiency (117.0–115.2), defensive efficiency (101.5–106.3), net efficiency (15.5–8.9).

Kentucky COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (8.7–7.2), ball security (15.4–17.2), free throw rate (38.0–36.6).

Final

Michigan State

83—66

Kentucky

Michigan State by 17 • 71.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATKentucky

32-64FG20-57

50.0%FG%35.0%

11-223PT7-30

50.0%3PT%23.0%

8-10FT19-22

80.0%FT%86.0%

42Rebounds28

10Offensive Rebounds6

25Assists13

13Turnovers9

5Steals7

4Blocks6

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaxon Kohler	F	27	8-12	2-2	2-2	5	2	0	1	20
Kur Teng	G	18	6-12	3-7	0-0	1	2	1	0	15
Trey Fort	G	18	5-12	3-8	0-0	2	1	0	0	13
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	31	2-3	0-0	4-4	6	13	3	0	8
Cam Ward	F	18	4-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	8
Jesse McCulloch	F	9	3-3	2-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	8
Coen Carr	F	30	2-6	1-2	1-2	5	2	1	1	6
Carson Cooper	C	23	1-7	0-1	0-0	7	2	0	1	2
Divine Ugochukwu	G	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jordan Scott	F	12	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	1	1
Denham Wojcik	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Colin Walton	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Brennan Walton	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nick Sanders	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Otega Oweh	G	31	4-12	2-5	2-2	4	3	0	1	12
Denzel Aberdeen	G	31	1-8	1-5	7-8	1	2	3	0	10
Collin Chandler	G	26	4-9	2-6	0-0	4	1	1	2	10
Mouhamed Dioubate	F	21	4-9	0-4	2-2	2	0	1	1	10
Malachi Moreno	C	20	1-2	0-0	7-8	4	3	0	1	9
Jasper Johnson	G	14	3-7	1-4	1-1	2	0	0	0	8
Kam Williams	G	17	2-6	1-5	0-0	1	1	1	0	5
Brandon Garrison	F	20	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	2
Andrija Jelavic	F	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Trent Noah	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-1	2	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.2Possessions71.2

116.6Offensive Efficiency92.7

92.7Defensive Efficiency116.6

23.9Net Efficiency-23.9

58.6%Effective FG%41.2%

60.4%True Shooting %48.9%

18.1%Turnover Rate12.8%

15.6%Free Throw Rate38.6%

34.4%3-Point Rate52.6%

1.92Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 71.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.