Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.1%Sacramento State

93.9%UCLA

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCLA -17.9

PROJECTED TOTAL157.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUCLA -1539

UCLA

24-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 70

Projected Total157.0

Projected ScoreUCLA 87

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricUCLA

43MMH Power Index63

106.1Offensive Efficiency115.9

112.0Defensive Efficiency106.9

-5.9Net Efficiency9.0

0.9Strength of Schedule5.1

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

73.2Tempo66.5

48.5%Effective FG%53.5%

14.2%Turnover Rate13.4%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

41.8%Free Throw Rate33.8%

-4.3Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCLA HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCLA holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.0–43.0), offensive efficiency (115.9–106.1), defensive efficiency (106.9–112.0), net efficiency (9.0–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (41.8–33.8).

Final

Sacramento State

48—79

UCLA

UCLA by 31 • 70.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATUCLA

13-54FG28-58

24.0%FG%48.0%

3-243PT7-21

13.0%3PT%33.0%

19-30FT16-24

63.0%FT%67.0%

35Rebounds44

13Offensive Rebounds11

9Assists20

13Turnovers15

6Steals9

3Blocks3

25Fouls25

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Prophet Johnson	G	38	4-11	1-5	4-6	10	4	4	0	13
Jahni Summers	G	24	3-6	2-5	3-4	1	0	0	0	11
Mark Lavrenov	F	29	2-8	0-2	6-8	10	0	0	0	10
Mikey Williams	G	34	2-14	0-3	5-8	4	3	2	0	9
Brandon Gardner	F	17	1-4	0-2	1-2	2	1	0	3	3
Jeremiah Cherry	F	12	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Shaqir O'Neal	F	17	0-1	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	0
Jayden Teat	G	11	0-4	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Arman Madi	G	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Taj Glover	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Isaiah Bronson	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Romari Robinson	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UCLA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Dailey Jr.	G	30	5-10	0-4	5-6	10	4	0	1	15
Xavier Booker	F	19	6-8	0-1	0-0	8	0	1	0	12
Trent Perry	G	27	4-7	2-3	1-1	2	1	0	0	11
Jamar Brown	G	19	3-5	1-2	3-3	5	3	0	0	10
Skyy Clark	G	20	3-4	3-4	0-0	1	1	2	0	9
Tyler Bilodeau	F	18	1-5	0-1	4-4	4	1	2	0	6
Donovan Dent	G	24	2-9	0-3	1-5	1	7	2	0	5
Brandon Williams	G	18	1-5	1-2	2-5	4	3	1	0	5
Eric Freeny	G	9	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Jack Seidler	G	2	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Steven Jamerson II	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	2	0
Anthony Peoples Jr.	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Christian Horry	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.9Possessions70.9

67.7Offensive Efficiency111.4

111.4Defensive Efficiency67.7

-43.7Net Efficiency43.7

26.9%Effective FG%54.3%

35.2%True Shooting %56.9%

19.0%Turnover Rate20.4%

55.6%Free Throw Rate41.4%

44.4%3-Point Rate36.2%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

UCLA won by 31 points. The game played at approximately 70.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.