Alabama

24-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.6%Alabama

78.4%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -9.5

PROJECTED TOTAL167.9

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -363

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama 79

Projected Total167.9

Projected ScoreIllinois 89

Team Comparison

AlabamaMetricIllinois

69.5MMH Power Index76.5

121.6Offensive Efficiency125.0

111.2Defensive Efficiency103.3

10.4Net Efficiency21.7

9.4Strength of Schedule6.7

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

74.7Tempo66.5

54.9%Effective FG%54.8%

13.0%Turnover Rate13.1%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

36.9%Free Throw Rate33.8%

7.7Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–69.5), offensive efficiency (125.0–121.6), defensive efficiency (103.3–111.2), net efficiency (21.7–10.4).

Alabama COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (9.4–6.7), shooting efficiency (54.9–54.8), ball security (13.0–13.1).

Final

Alabama

90—86

Illinois

Alabama by 4 • 78.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AlabamaTEAM STATIllinois

30-66FG31-73

45.0%FG%42.0%

13-363PT11-32

36.0%3PT%34.0%

17-23FT13-22

74.0%FT%59.0%

38Rebounds40

10Offensive Rebounds14

15Assists17

10Turnovers11

6Steals7

4Blocks3

25Fouls21

Player Box Score

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Labaron Philon Jr.	G	25	9-18	3-6	3-4	2	5	1	0	24
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	25	4-8	2-6	2-2	3	0	0	2	12
Aden Holloway	G	31	4-11	2-8	1-2	3	3	1	0	11
Houston Mallette	G	23	2-5	1-4	5-5	3	0	1	0	10
Keitenn Bristow	F	19	4-7	0-1	2-3	8	0	1	1	10
Amari Allen	F	29	3-8	2-4	1-3	11	4	1	0	9
Aiden Sherrell	F	9	1-1	1-1	3-4	2	0	1	0	6
Latrell Wrightsell	G	26	2-5	1-4	0-0	1	3	0	0	5
Davion Hannah	G	5	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Noah Williamson	C	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
London Jemison	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrej Stojakovic	G	30	11-16	2-3	2-5	3	0	0	0	26
Kylan Boswell	G	33	8-18	0-4	6-7	4	7	1	0	22
Ben Humrichous	F	26	3-9	3-8	2-2	6	0	1	2	11
David Mirkovic	F	30	4-13	2-6	0-1	10	4	3	1	10
Keaton Wagler	G	36	2-9	1-4	3-5	3	1	1	0	8
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	16	1-5	1-4	0-2	3	0	0	0	3
Tomislav Ivisic	C	15	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	3
Mihailo Petrovic	G	12	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	5	0	0	3
Jake Davis	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.7Possessions78.7

114.4Offensive Efficiency109.3

109.3Defensive Efficiency114.4

5.1Net Efficiency-5.1

55.3%Effective FG%50.0%

58.5%True Shooting %51.5%

13.0%Turnover Rate13.7%

34.8%Free Throw Rate30.1%

54.5%3-Point Rate43.8%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.55

Game Summary

Alabama won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 78.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.