Louisville

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.9%Louisville

47.1%Cincinnati

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -112

Cincinnati

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisville 75

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreCincinnati 75

Team Comparison

LouisvilleMetricCincinnati

67.1MMH Power Index61.5

118.6Offensive Efficiency105.3

102.2Defensive Efficiency97.3

16.4Net Efficiency8.0

6.0Strength of Schedule5.1

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency14.4

71.0Tempo69.4

56.9%Effective FG%50.6%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.0%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

34.1%Free Throw Rate30.7%

11.7Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–61.5), offensive efficiency (118.6–105.3), net efficiency (16.4–8.0), strength of schedule (6.0–5.1).

Cincinnati COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (97.3–102.2), recent form (14.4–1.4).

Final

Louisville

74—64

Cincinnati

Louisville by 10 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisvilleTEAM STATCincinnati

21-56FG23-62

38.0%FG%37.0%

8-283PT8-29

29.0%3PT%28.0%

24-28FT10-16

86.0%FT%63.0%

41Rebounds38

11Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists19

13Turnovers13

9Steals5

4Blocks7

23Fouls19

Player Box Score

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Conwell	G	34	8-15	5-10	4-4	5	2	0	0	25
Mikel Brown Jr.	G	31	4-15	2-9	12-14	5	6	3	0	22
Sananda Fru	F	23	4-6	0-0	3-5	4	0	2	2	11
Adrian Wooley	G	20	2-3	0-1	2-2	4	0	1	0	6
Isaac McKneely	G	26	0-4	0-3	3-3	4	1	0	0	3
Kobe Rodgers	G	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
J'Vonne Hadley	G	20	1-5	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Khani Rooths	F	13	1-2	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	1	2
Aly Khalifa	C	15	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	1	0
Kasean Pryor	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	2	0	0

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Day Day Thomas	G	35	3-14	2-6	4-4	4	6	0	1	12
Shon Abaev	G	27	4-16	3-11	1-3	3	1	1	0	12
Moustapha Thiam	C	27	5-7	0-1	0-2	9	1	1	3	10
Baba Miller	F	25	3-6	0-1	3-4	8	3	1	1	9
Sencire Harris	G	20	4-7	0-0	1-1	3	1	1	1	9
Kerr Kriisa	G	25	2-7	2-7	0-0	0	3	1	0	6
Jalen Celestine	G	18	1-2	1-2	1-2	1	1	0	1	4
Tyler McKinley	F	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	0	2
Keyshuan Tillery	G	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

103.6Offensive Efficiency89.6

89.6Defensive Efficiency103.6

14.0Net Efficiency-14.0

44.6%Effective FG%43.5%

53.4%True Shooting %46.0%

18.2%Turnover Rate18.2%

50.0%Free Throw Rate25.8%

50.0%3-Point Rate46.8%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.46

Game Summary

Louisville won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.