Iowa State

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.9%Iowa State

47.1%St. John's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL150.5

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -112

St. John's

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa State 75

Projected Total150.5

Projected ScoreSt. John's 75

Team Comparison

Iowa StateMetricSt. John's

75.9MMH Power Index70.3

119.3Offensive Efficiency114.4

96.0Defensive Efficiency97.6

23.3Net Efficiency16.8

4.9Strength of Schedule5.5

17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency11.4

68.4Tempo70.9

56.1%Effective FG%51.3%

15.0%Turnover Rate14.3%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

35.2%Free Throw Rate41.1%

15.9Average Margin11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–70.3), offensive efficiency (119.3–114.4), defensive efficiency (96.0–97.6), net efficiency (23.3–16.8).

St. John's COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.5–4.9), ball security (14.3–15.0), free throw rate (41.1–35.2).

Final

Iowa State

83—82

St. John's

Iowa State by 1 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Iowa StateTEAM STATSt. John's

27-62FG26-60

44.0%FG%43.0%

9-223PT7-20

41.0%3PT%35.0%

20-25FT23-30

80.0%FT%77.0%

38Rebounds36

17Offensive Rebounds15

14Assists15

11Turnovers10

3Steals4

1Blocks3

24Fouls21

Player Box Score

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Milan Momcilovic	F	33	8-13	5-9	2-2	3	1	0	0	23
Joshua Jefferson	F	36	5-14	1-2	6-8	8	3	0	1	17
Tamin Lipsey	G	34	5-17	2-6	4-4	1	5	1	0	16
Nate Heise	G	25	2-5	0-3	3-3	4	0	0	0	7
Blake Buchanan	F	22	2-3	0-0	3-4	4	3	0	0	7
Killyan Toure	G	21	2-4	0-1	2-4	4	1	1	0	6
Jamarion Batemon	G	9	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Dominick Nelson	G	6	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Dominykas Pleta	F	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Eric Mulder	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Oziyah Sellers	G	28	6-11	5-6	3-4	5	0	0	0	20
Bryce Hopkins	F	33	3-10	0-3	10-10	7	3	1	0	16
Zuby Ejiofor	F	30	5-9	0-1	6-8	9	5	1	1	16
Dillon Mitchell	F	31	6-8	0-0	0-0	9	1	0	2	12
Joson Sanon	G	26	2-10	1-4	2-4	0	1	1	0	7
Ian Jackson	G	16	2-6	1-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Dylan Darling	G	24	1-4	0-2	2-4	1	3	1	0	4
Ruben Prey	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Lefteris Liotopoulos	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

121.0Offensive Efficiency119.5

119.5Defensive Efficiency121.0

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

50.8%Effective FG%49.2%

56.2%True Shooting %55.2%

16.2%Turnover Rate14.4%

40.3%Free Throw Rate50.0%

35.5%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.