Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

77.2%Auburn

22.8%Oregon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -5.9

PROJECTED TOTAL156.0

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -339

Oregon

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 81

Projected Total156.0

Projected ScoreOregon 75

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricOregon

64.4MMH Power Index48.9

118.8Offensive Efficiency106.4

113.0Defensive Efficiency110.7

5.8Net Efficiency-4.3

7.5Strength of Schedule6.0

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

69.8Tempo66.7

53.1%Effective FG%49.9%

14.5%Turnover Rate17.8%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

43.8%Free Throw Rate36.9%

4.1Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–48.9), offensive efficiency (118.8–106.4), net efficiency (5.8–-4.3), strength of schedule (7.5–6.0).

Oregon COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.7–113.0).

Final

Auburn

84—73

Oregon

Auburn by 11 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATOregon

30-65FG23-61

46.0%FG%38.0%

5-233PT9-33

22.0%3PT%27.0%

19-23FT18-23

83.0%FT%78.0%

34Rebounds46

12Offensive Rebounds20

14Assists14

6Turnovers18

12Steals3

3Blocks1

19Fouls20

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tahaad Pettiford	G	29	9-18	1-5	5-6	4	4	0	1	24
Keyshawn Hall	F	36	5-14	2-7	6-6	6	1	1	0	18
Filip Jovic	F	14	4-4	0-0	1-1	4	1	1	0	9
Elyjah Freeman	G	29	2-5	1-2	3-4	6	1	4	1	8
KeShawn Murphy	F	18	3-5	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	7
Kevin Overton	G	30	3-10	0-4	0-0	2	0	2	0	6
Sebastian Williams-Adams	F	27	1-2	0-1	4-6	3	2	2	1	6
Kaden Magwood	G	7	2-4	0-1	0-0	0	3	2	0	4
Emeka Opurum	C	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Simon Walker	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Oregon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Takai Simpkins	G	29	5-9	5-8	7-7	4	0	0	0	22
Kwame Evans Jr.	F	28	4-7	0-3	3-4	7	2	1	0	11
Nate Bittle	C	33	2-11	1-4	5-6	7	2	0	1	10
Jackson Shelstad	G	36	4-17	1-11	0-0	4	8	0	0	9
Devon Pryor	F	24	3-5	1-3	2-2	10	0	1	0	9
Sean Stewart	F	21	3-4	0-0	1-4	6	0	0	0	7
Wei Lin	G	8	2-4	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Dezdrick Lindsay	F	18	0-3	0-2	0-0	4	1	1	0	0
Jamari Phillips	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ege Demir	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

120.2Offensive Efficiency104.4

104.4Defensive Efficiency120.2

15.7Net Efficiency-15.7

50.0%Effective FG%45.1%

55.3%True Shooting %50.7%

8.6%Turnover Rate25.7%

35.4%Free Throw Rate37.7%

35.4%3-Point Rate54.1%

2.33Assist / Turnover0.78

Game Summary

Auburn won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.