Gonzaga

31-4

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.5%Gonzaga

43.5%Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL166.9

MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -130

Alabama

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGonzaga 85

Projected Total166.9

Projected ScoreAlabama 82

Team Comparison

GonzagaMetricAlabama

76.4MMH Power Index69.5

119.7Offensive Efficiency121.6

94.0Defensive Efficiency111.2

25.7Net Efficiency10.4

3.0Strength of Schedule9.4

18.2Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

70.4Tempo74.7

55.7%Effective FG%54.9%

13.6%Turnover Rate13.0%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

31.5%Free Throw Rate36.9%

18.1Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–69.5), defensive efficiency (94.0–111.2), net efficiency (25.7–10.4), recent form (18.2–9.5).

Alabama COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (121.6–119.7), strength of schedule (9.4–3.0), ball security (13.0–13.6).

Final

Gonzaga

95—85

Alabama

Gonzaga by 10 • 76.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GonzagaTEAM STATAlabama

35-72FG31-67

49.0%FG%46.0%

6-223PT9-29

27.0%3PT%31.0%

19-26FT14-23

73.0%FT%61.0%

48Rebounds36

20Offensive Rebounds13

13Assists13

11Turnovers13

7Steals7

3Blocks3

20Fouls20

Player Box Score

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Graham Ike	F	33	8-19	0-1	5-6	11	3	0	0	21
Tyon Grant-Foster	G	30	9-16	1-4	2-4	7	1	1	2	21
Braden Huff	F	26	9-12	0-1	0-3	8	2	1	1	18
Steele Venters	G	23	4-9	4-8	0-0	2	0	1	0	12
Mario Saint-Supery	G	32	0-2	0-1	10-11	5	6	1	0	10
Adam Miller	G	15	2-8	1-5	2-2	3	0	0	0	7
Emmanuel Innocenti	F	12	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	2	0	4
Jalen Warley	G	20	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Braeden Smith	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Davis Fogle	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Labaron Philon Jr.	G	37	11-18	3-6	4-7	0	7	2	0	29
Aiden Sherrell	F	30	6-9	0-1	2-5	6	2	1	3	14
Amari Allen	F	30	4-7	2-4	4-6	4	1	2	0	14
Aden Holloway	G	28	4-15	2-10	3-3	3	2	1	0	13
Keitenn Bristow	F	19	3-9	0-2	1-2	11	0	1	0	7
London Jemison	F	8	2-2	2-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	14	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Houston Mallette	G	26	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Noah Williamson	C	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Davion Hannah	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.7Possessions76.7

123.9Offensive Efficiency110.8

110.8Defensive Efficiency123.9

13.0Net Efficiency-13.0

52.8%Effective FG%53.0%

56.3%True Shooting %54.5%

14.6%Turnover Rate16.7%

36.1%Free Throw Rate34.3%

30.6%3-Point Rate43.3%

1.18Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Gonzaga won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 76.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.