San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.6%San Diego State

94.4%Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan -18.4

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan -1686

Michigan

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 69

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreMichigan 87

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricMichigan

60.1MMH Power Index80.9

110.3Offensive Efficiency122.3

99.3Defensive Efficiency97.0

11.0Net Efficiency25.3

3.8Strength of Schedule8.7

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency17.2

70.8Tempo71.8

53.2%Effective FG%58.8%

17.2%Turnover Rate16.4%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %34.6%

39.6%Free Throw Rate38.9%

7.8Average Margin18.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (80.9–60.1), offensive efficiency (122.3–110.3), defensive efficiency (97.0–99.3), net efficiency (25.3–11.0).

San Diego State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (39.6–38.9).

Final

San Diego State

54—94

Michigan

Michigan by 40 • 75.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATMichigan

17-62FG34-68

27.0%FG%50.0%

7-233PT11-33

30.0%3PT%33.0%

13-16FT15-22

81.0%FT%68.0%

34Rebounds49

12Offensive Rebounds15

8Assists14

17Turnovers13

6Steals11

2Blocks5

21Fouls15

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elzie Harrington	G	22	6-9	1-1	2-2	0	1	0	0	15
BJ Davis	G	17	3-8	2-4	3-3	3	0	0	0	11
Magoon Gwath	F	20	2-8	1-3	2-2	2	0	1	0	7
Reese Dixon-Waters	G	26	1-7	1-6	2-2	3	2	2	0	5
Miles Byrd	G	26	2-8	1-3	0-1	1	0	0	0	5
Taj DeGourville	G	21	1-5	0-1	2-2	1	0	1	0	4
Sean Newman Jr.	G	8	1-6	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Jeremiah Oden	F	14	1-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Pharaoh Compton	F	13	0-1	0-0	2-4	4	0	0	1	2
Miles Heide	F	20	0-4	0-0	0-0	8	5	1	1	0
Tae Simmons	F	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Thokbor Majak	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Yaxel Lendeborg	F	26	5-7	2-4	3-5	6	4	0	1	15
Morez Johnson Jr.	F	23	4-8	0-0	5-5	6	0	1	1	13
Elliot Cadeau	G	18	5-7	3-5	0-0	3	1	1	0	13
Roddy Gayle Jr.	G	22	5-6	0-0	1-1	4	2	3	0	11
Nimari Burnett	G	21	3-8	2-6	3-4	7	1	0	0	11
Will Tschetter	F	16	4-9	2-6	0-1	3	0	1	0	10
Aday Mara	C	24	3-6	0-1	1-2	8	2	0	3	7
L.J. Cason	G	22	2-7	0-5	2-4	3	2	2	0	6
Trey McKenney	G	15	2-6	2-5	0-0	1	1	3	0	6
Oscar Goodman	F	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Malick Kordel	C	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Winters Grady	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.6Possessions75.6

71.4Offensive Efficiency124.3

124.3Defensive Efficiency71.4

-52.9Net Efficiency52.9

33.1%Effective FG%58.1%

38.8%True Shooting %59.9%

22.8%Turnover Rate17.0%

25.8%Free Throw Rate32.4%

37.1%3-Point Rate48.5%

0.47Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Michigan won by 40 points. The game played at approximately 75.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.