Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

91.1%Michigan State

8.9%East Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -14.4

PROJECTED TOTAL149.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -1024

East Carolina

11-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 82

Projected Total149.6

Projected ScoreEast Carolina 68

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricEast Carolina

69.8MMH Power Index44.3

117.0Offensive Efficiency102.0

101.5Defensive Efficiency110.5

15.5Net Efficiency-8.5

7.2Strength of Schedule2.6

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

67.3Tempo70.1

54.1%Effective FG%46.7%

17.2%Turnover Rate17.4%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

36.6%Free Throw Rate40.2%

10.5Average Margin-5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–44.3), offensive efficiency (117.0–102.0), defensive efficiency (101.5–110.5), net efficiency (15.5–-8.5).

East Carolina COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (40.2–36.6).

Final

Michigan State

89—56

East Carolina

Michigan State by 33 • 72.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATEast Carolina

34-67FG16-48

51.0%FG%33.0%

13-283PT6-15

46.0%3PT%40.0%

8-12FT18-26

67.0%FT%69.0%

38Rebounds34

13Offensive Rebounds11

24Assists8

11Turnovers24

13Steals9

8Blocks3

22Fouls11

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaxon Kohler	F	21	6-6	4-4	0-0	8	0	2	2	16
Divine Ugochukwu	G	16	6-7	3-4	1-1	2	2	2	0	16
Coen Carr	F	24	5-11	1-3	2-5	4	3	2	1	13
Carson Cooper	C	20	3-4	0-1	4-4	9	2	1	1	10
Cam Ward	F	18	4-7	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	0	9
Trey Fort	G	17	4-10	1-4	0-0	2	0	0	2	9
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	24	2-5	2-4	0-0	1	10	1	0	6
Kur Teng	G	15	1-5	1-3	0-0	2	2	2	0	3
Jordan Scott	F	12	1-5	1-4	0-0	0	1	1	0	3
Jesse McCulloch	F	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	2	2
Brennan Walton	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Denham Wojcik	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Nick Sanders	G	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Colin Walton	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

East Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Riley	G	32	4-12	2-4	3-7	2	2	1	0	13
Corey Caulker	G	33	4-8	1-3	2-3	4	4	3	0	11
Giovanni Emejuru	C	34	3-10	0-0	3-4	8	0	1	0	9
Reid Cason	F	25	2-5	0-0	5-5	4	1	1	3	9
Tybo Bailey	G	31	1-6	1-4	3-5	3	1	2	0	6
Isaiah Mbeng	G	20	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Paddy D'Arcy	G	4	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Eli DeLaurier	F	17	0-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	0	2
Vito Perkovic	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.1Possessions72.1

123.4Offensive Efficiency77.7

77.7Defensive Efficiency123.4

45.8Net Efficiency-45.8

60.4%Effective FG%39.6%

61.2%True Shooting %46.4%

15.6%Turnover Rate32.7%

17.9%Free Throw Rate54.2%

41.8%3-Point Rate31.3%

2.18Assist / Turnover0.33

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 33 points. The game played at approximately 72.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.