Tennessee

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.9%Tennessee

79.1%Houston

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHouston -9.1

PROJECTED TOTAL144.6

MODEL MONEYLINEHouston -378

Houston

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee 68

Projected Total144.6

Projected ScoreHouston 77

Team Comparison

TennesseeMetricHouston

68.6MMH Power Index76

115.8Offensive Efficiency118.4

102.1Defensive Efficiency95.9

13.7Net Efficiency22.5

7.8Strength of Schedule5.9

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency18.9

68.1Tempo65.2

51.6%Effective FG%52.3%

17.3%Turnover Rate12.9%

44.5%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

38.6%Free Throw Rate26.9%

9.3Average Margin14.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Houston HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHouston holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.0–68.6), offensive efficiency (118.4–115.8), defensive efficiency (95.9–102.1), net efficiency (22.5–13.7).

Tennessee COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.8–5.9), offensive rebounding (44.5–35.3), free throw rate (38.6–26.9).

Final

Tennessee

76—73

Houston

Tennessee by 3 • 60.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TennesseeTEAM STATHouston

24-51FG28-61

47.0%FG%46.0%

5-173PT9-24

29.0%3PT%38.0%

23-29FT8-11

79.0%FT%73.0%

32Rebounds33

13Offensive Rebounds15

15Assists16

9Turnovers9

6Steals3

3Blocks4

15Fouls21

Player Box Score

Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ja'Kobi Gillespie	G	38	5-16	3-9	9-9	2	4	1	0	22
Jaylen Carey	F	22	6-11	0-1	1-2	7	0	0	0	13
Bishop Boswell	G	32	4-4	0-0	2-4	4	3	3	1	10
Felix Okpara	F	31	3-6	1-1	2-4	3	0	0	1	9
Nate Ament	F	24	1-8	0-4	7-8	5	4	1	0	9
J.P. Estrella	F	13	3-3	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	8
Amaree Abram	G	19	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	2	1	0	3
Cade Phillips	F	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Ethan Burg	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kingston Flemings	G	32	10-15	3-4	2-2	4	3	2	0	25
Milos Uzan	G	35	7-15	1-6	2-2	3	4	0	0	17
Emanuel Sharp	G	21	3-8	2-5	0-0	1	1	0	1	8
Joseph Tugler	F	33	3-6	0-0	1-2	3	5	0	0	7
Chase McCarty	F	9	2-3	2-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Chris Cenac Jr.	F	33	2-8	0-3	1-2	11	0	0	1	5
Isiah Harwell	G	20	1-4	1-2	0-1	4	1	1	0	3
Kalifa Sakho	F	7	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	1	2
Mercy Miller	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Ramon Walker Jr.	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.5Possessions60.5

125.6Offensive Efficiency120.7

120.7Defensive Efficiency125.6

5.0Net Efficiency-5.0

52.0%Effective FG%53.3%

58.7%True Shooting %55.1%

14.8%Turnover Rate14.9%

56.9%Free Throw Rate18.0%

33.3%3-Point Rate39.3%

1.67Assist / Turnover1.78

Game Summary

Tennessee won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 60.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.