Purdue

30-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

92.6%Purdue

7.4%Rutgers

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPurdue -15.5

PROJECTED TOTAL150.8

MODEL MONEYLINEPurdue -1251

Rutgers

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePurdue 83

Projected Total150.8

Projected ScoreRutgers 68

Team Comparison

PurdueMetricRutgers

73.2MMH Power Index45.9

124.8Offensive Efficiency104.2

107.8Defensive Efficiency112.2

17.0Net Efficiency-8.0

7.6Strength of Schedule3.9

11.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.6

65.4Tempo67.4

57.8%Effective FG%47.4%

13.7%Turnover Rate15.0%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

29.1%Free Throw Rate36.3%

11.1Average Margin-5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Purdue HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPurdue holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (73.2–45.9), offensive efficiency (124.8–104.2), defensive efficiency (107.8–112.2), net efficiency (17.0–-8.0).

Rutgers COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (36.3–29.1).

Final

Purdue

68—50

Rutgers

Purdue by 18 • 63.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PurdueTEAM STATRutgers

28-56FG17-52

50.0%FG%33.0%

4-243PT7-23

17.0%3PT%30.0%

8-16FT9-11

50.0%FT%82.0%

34Rebounds36

8Offensive Rebounds10

18Assists11

8Turnovers16

7Steals3

4Blocks2

17Fouls18

Player Box Score

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braden Smith	G	39	6-10	1-4	3-5	3	14	3	1	16
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	20	6-8	0-0	4-8	5	1	0	0	16
Fletcher Loyer	G	36	6-14	1-6	0-0	3	0	1	0	13
Caleb Furst	Forward	32	3-3	0-0	1-3	7	1	1	2	7
Camden Heide	F	22	3-8	0-4	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
C.J. Cox	G	17	2-5	1-4	0-0	4	1	0	0	5
Gicarri Harris	G	17	1-4	1-3	0-0	4	1	1	1	3
Raleigh Burgess	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Myles Colvin	G	11	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

Rutgers

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ace Bailey	Guard	32	5-15	4-9	3-4	7	1	2	1	17
Tyson Acuff	Guard	25	2-7	2-5	4-4	5	3	0	0	10
Dylan Grant	F	15	3-3	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	7
Dylan Harper	Guard	28	2-9	0-3	2-3	6	3	0	1	6
Emmanuel Ogbole	C	19	2-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	4
Lathan Sommerville	C	21	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Jamichael Davis	G	21	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jordan Derkack	G	16	1-7	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Jeremiah Williams	G	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
PJ Hayes IV	Guard	9	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.4Possessions63.4

107.3Offensive Efficiency78.9

78.9Defensive Efficiency107.3

28.4Net Efficiency-28.4

53.6%Effective FG%39.4%

53.5%True Shooting %43.7%

12.6%Turnover Rate25.3%

28.6%Free Throw Rate21.2%

42.9%3-Point Rate44.2%

2.25Assist / Turnover0.69

Game Summary

Purdue won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 63.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.