St. John's

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

68.2%St. John's

31.8%Baylor

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -4.2

PROJECTED TOTAL157.0

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -214

Baylor

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. John's 81

Projected Total157.0

Projected ScoreBaylor 76

Team Comparison

St. John'sMetricBaylor

70.3MMH Power Index58.9

114.4Offensive Efficiency116.7

97.6Defensive Efficiency109.5

16.8Net Efficiency7.2

5.5Strength of Schedule4.0

11.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

70.9Tempo69.7

51.3%Effective FG%54.4%

14.3%Turnover Rate16.4%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %37.5%

41.1%Free Throw Rate34.8%

11.9Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–58.9), defensive efficiency (97.6–109.5), net efficiency (16.8–7.2), strength of schedule (5.5–4.0).

Baylor COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.7–114.4), shooting efficiency (54.4–51.3), offensive rebounding (37.5–34.8).

Final

St. John's

96—81

Baylor

St. John's by 15 • 71.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. John'sTEAM STATBaylor

35-61FG29-78

57.0%FG%37.0%

11-223PT8-25

50.0%3PT%32.0%

15-22FT15-17

68.0%FT%88.0%

34Rebounds48

9Offensive Rebounds26

19Assists10

10Turnovers11

4Steals2

5Blocks1

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Hopkins	F	26	9-12	3-3	5-5	5	5	1	1	26
Oziyah Sellers	G	36	6-11	5-7	5-5	2	0	0	1	22
Dillon Mitchell	F	25	8-10	0-1	2-3	6	6	1	1	18
Ian Jackson	G	21	5-7	3-4	1-2	3	1	0	0	14
Zuby Ejiofor	F	26	4-7	0-0	1-4	6	4	0	2	9
Ruben Prey	F	13	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	2	0	0	3
Joson Sanon	G	18	1-6	0-2	0-1	5	0	0	0	2
Dylan Darling	G	18	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	2	0	2
Sadiku Ibine Ayo	F	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Lefteris Liotopoulos	G	4	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Carr	G	36	8-15	5-8	6-7	3	0	0	0	27
Tounde Yessoufou	G	32	5-17	3-9	2-2	9	1	0	0	15
Isaac Williams IV	G	23	5-11	0-1	4-5	2	1	0	0	14
Michael Rataj	G	30	5-14	0-1	2-2	12	4	0	1	12
Caden Powell	C	26	2-5	0-0	1-1	10	0	0	0	5
Obi Agbim	G	29	2-8	0-4	0-0	2	3	1	0	4
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	24	2-8	0-2	0-0	5	1	1	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

71.8Possessions71.8

133.7Offensive Efficiency112.8

112.8Defensive Efficiency133.7

20.9Net Efficiency-20.9

66.4%Effective FG%42.3%

67.2%True Shooting %47.1%

13.8%Turnover Rate15.5%

36.1%Free Throw Rate21.8%

36.1%3-Point Rate32.1%

1.90Assist / Turnover0.91

Game Summary

St. John's won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 71.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.