St. Bonaventure

17-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.1%St. Bonaventure

86.9%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -12.8

PROJECTED TOTAL153.3

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -663

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. Bonaventure 70

Projected Total153.3

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 83

Team Comparison

St. BonaventureMetricNorth Carolina

52.8MMH Power Index65.2

112.4Offensive Efficiency115.5

109.6Defensive Efficiency103.8

2.8Net Efficiency11.7

1.9Strength of Schedule7.6

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

67.9Tempo69.0

52.9%Effective FG%54.6%

16.8%Turnover Rate13.9%

34.5%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

30.8%Free Throw Rate38.1%

1.9Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–52.8), offensive efficiency (115.5–112.4), defensive efficiency (103.8–109.6), net efficiency (11.7–2.8).

St. Bonaventure COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-0.7–-1.8), offensive rebounding (34.5–31.1).

Final

St. Bonaventure

70—85

North Carolina

North Carolina by 15 • 71.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. BonaventureTEAM STATNorth Carolina

29-70FG28-55

41.0%FG%51.0%

7-173PT8-18

41.0%3PT%44.0%

5-8FT21-27

63.0%FT%78.0%

31Rebounds40

11Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists17

9Turnovers13

8Steals5

5Blocks1

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

St. Bonaventure

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darryl Simmons II	G	36	9-16	4-6	0-0	1	3	1	0	22
Frank Mitchell	F	31	9-18	0-0	0-0	6	2	1	1	18
Daniel Egbuniwe	F	23	3-8	2-5	0-0	5	3	2	1	8
Cayden Charles	G	24	2-7	0-1	2-2	6	1	3	0	6
Dasonte Bowen	G	25	2-8	0-1	1-2	3	3	0	0	5
Amar'e Marshall	G	15	2-5	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Andrew Osasuyi	C	12	1-4	0-0	2-4	1	0	0	2	4
Ilia Ermakov	G	15	1-3	1-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	3
Joe Grahovac	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Achille Lonati	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Henri Veesaar	C	35	9-14	1-3	5-8	13	3	2	0	24
Caleb Wilson	F	32	4-12	0-0	10-10	12	1	0	0	18
Kyan Evans	G	25	4-5	3-4	0-0	2	3	0	0	11
Luka Bogavac	G	30	3-9	2-5	2-2	0	4	1	0	10
Jarin Stevenson	F	31	4-8	0-3	1-3	5	2	0	1	9
Derek Dixon	G	16	2-3	1-1	2-2	1	3	0	0	7
Isaiah Denis	G	1	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Zayden High	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Jonathan Powell	G	18	0-1	0-1	1-2	2	0	1	0	1
Jaydon Young	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
James Brown	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.3Possessions71.3

98.2Offensive Efficiency119.2

119.2Defensive Efficiency98.2

-21.0Net Efficiency21.0

46.4%Effective FG%58.2%

47.4%True Shooting %62.7%

12.5%Turnover Rate18.4%

11.4%Free Throw Rate49.1%

24.3%3-Point Rate32.7%

1.44Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 71.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.