Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.7%Auburn

91.3%Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan -17.3

PROJECTED TOTAL164.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan -1049

Michigan

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 73

Projected Total164.1

Projected ScoreMichigan 91

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricMichigan

64.4MMH Power Index80.9

118.8Offensive Efficiency122.3

113.0Defensive Efficiency97.0

5.8Net Efficiency25.3

7.5Strength of Schedule8.7

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency17.2

69.8Tempo71.8

53.1%Effective FG%58.8%

14.5%Turnover Rate16.4%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %34.6%

43.8%Free Throw Rate38.9%

4.1Average Margin18.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (80.9–64.4), offensive efficiency (122.3–118.8), defensive efficiency (97.0–113.0), net efficiency (25.3–5.8).

Auburn COUNTERS WITHball security (14.5–16.4), offensive rebounding (36.5–34.6), free throw rate (43.8–38.9).

Final

Auburn

72—102

Michigan

Michigan by 30 • 71.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATMichigan

22-62FG35-68

35.0%FG%51.0%

10-243PT14-35

42.0%3PT%40.0%

18-33FT18-22

55.0%FT%82.0%

35Rebounds51

15Offensive Rebounds16

3Assists19

8Turnovers9

4Steals7

3Blocks5

18Fouls21

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tahaad Pettiford	G	24	4-10	4-6	4-5	1	1	1	0	16
Keyshawn Hall	F	32	4-11	1-4	6-7	5	0	0	0	15
Filip Jovic	F	28	4-7	0-0	5-11	6	0	0	0	13
KeShawn Murphy	F	25	5-10	2-3	0-1	5	1	0	1	12
Kaden Magwood	G	16	3-10	2-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	8
Simon Walker	G	15	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Kevin Overton	G	18	0-5	0-3	2-4	3	0	1	0	2
Blake Muschalek	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Sebastian Williams-Adams	F	20	0-1	0-0	1-5	2	0	1	1	1
Elyjah Freeman	G	17	0-3	0-1	0-0	6	1	1	1	0
Emeka Opurum	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Yaxel Lendeborg	F	27	6-11	3-7	2-3	5	4	2	1	17
Roddy Gayle Jr.	G	24	6-13	3-6	2-2	6	2	1	0	17
Morez Johnson Jr.	F	20	6-7	0-0	3-4	5	3	0	1	15
Nimari Burnett	G	19	5-7	1-2	4-4	5	1	0	0	15
Trey McKenney	G	23	3-6	3-6	2-2	7	3	0	0	11
L.J. Cason	G	25	4-6	2-3	0-0	4	2	3	0	10
Aday Mara	C	16	2-4	0-0	1-3	8	1	0	2	5
Will Tschetter	F	14	0-3	0-3	4-4	3	2	1	1	4
Elliot Cadeau	G	13	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Winters Grady	G	5	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Oscar Goodman	F	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Malick Kordel	C	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Charlie May	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.1Possessions71.1

101.3Offensive Efficiency143.5

143.5Defensive Efficiency101.3

-42.2Net Efficiency42.2

43.5%Effective FG%61.8%

46.3%True Shooting %65.0%

11.3%Turnover Rate12.6%

53.2%Free Throw Rate32.4%

38.7%3-Point Rate51.5%

0.38Assist / Turnover2.11

Game Summary

Michigan won by 30 points. The game played at approximately 71.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.