Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.1%Michigan State

49.9%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL151.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -100

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 75

Projected Total151.0

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 76

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricNorth Carolina

69.8MMH Power Index65.2

117.0Offensive Efficiency115.5

101.5Defensive Efficiency103.8

15.5Net Efficiency11.7

7.2Strength of Schedule7.6

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

67.3Tempo69.0

54.1%Effective FG%54.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate13.9%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

36.6%Free Throw Rate38.1%

10.5Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–65.2), offensive efficiency (117.0–115.5), defensive efficiency (101.5–103.8), net efficiency (15.5–11.7).

North Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.6–7.2), shooting efficiency (54.6–54.1), ball security (13.9–17.2).

Final

Michigan State

74—58

North Carolina

Michigan State by 16 • 60.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATNorth Carolina

31-60FG21-55

52.0%FG%38.0%

5-103PT4-23

50.0%3PT%17.0%

7-9FT12-17

78.0%FT%71.0%

37Rebounds30

12Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists9

10Turnovers8

2Steals5

4Blocks2

17Fouls14

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	36	8-10	1-1	2-3	5	7	0	0	19
Carson Cooper	C	30	6-10	0-0	2-2	6	1	0	0	14
Cam Ward	F	16	4-7	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	1	11
Jaxon Kohler	F	32	4-8	2-4	0-0	11	2	0	1	10
Coen Carr	F	36	4-10	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	1	8
Kur Teng	G	13	3-4	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Trey Fort	G	21	1-7	1-2	0-0	1	3	1	0	3
Divine Ugochukwu	G	12	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Jesse McCulloch	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jordan Scott	F	2	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Wilson	F	33	6-13	0-3	6-7	7	1	2	0	18
Henri Veesaar	C	29	6-9	1-2	0-1	6	0	1	1	13
Luka Bogavac	G	35	4-12	1-6	2-3	1	5	0	0	11
Jarin Stevenson	F	28	2-5	1-3	2-4	1	0	2	0	7
Kyan Evans	G	33	1-7	0-5	2-2	1	2	0	0	4
Jonathan Powell	G	23	1-5	1-3	0-0	7	0	0	1	3
Zayden High	F	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Derek Dixon	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
James Brown	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.7Possessions60.7

121.9Offensive Efficiency95.6

95.6Defensive Efficiency121.9

26.4Net Efficiency-26.4

55.8%Effective FG%41.8%

57.6%True Shooting %46.0%

16.1%Turnover Rate13.5%

15.0%Free Throw Rate30.9%

16.7%3-Point Rate41.8%

1.40Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 60.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.