Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.0%Providence

84.0%Wisconsin

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWisconsin -11.5

PROJECTED TOTAL169.6

MODEL MONEYLINEWisconsin -525

Wisconsin

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 79

Projected Total169.6

Projected ScoreWisconsin 91

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricWisconsin

54.2MMH Power Index64.5

115.0Offensive Efficiency118.6

113.2Defensive Efficiency108.8

1.8Net Efficiency9.8

4.0Strength of Schedule6.7

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency5.6

74.2Tempo69.9

55.0%Effective FG%54.6%

16.7%Turnover Rate12.8%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

37.3%Free Throw Rate32.5%

1.3Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wisconsin HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWisconsin holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.5–54.2), offensive efficiency (118.6–115.0), defensive efficiency (108.8–113.2), net efficiency (9.8–1.8).

Providence COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (55.0–54.6), offensive rebounding (31.8–28.7), free throw rate (37.3–32.5).

Final

Providence

83—104

Wisconsin

Wisconsin by 21 • 81.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATWisconsin

30-67FG37-77

45.0%FG%48.0%

11-283PT14-40

39.0%3PT%35.0%

12-15FT16-24

80.0%FT%67.0%

36Rebounds43

7Offensive Rebounds14

14Assists21

14Turnovers8

5Steals10

2Blocks5

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jason Edwards	G	26	8-15	3-7	1-2	3	1	2	0	20
Stefan Vaaks	G	30	4-10	3-7	0-0	0	4	1	1	11
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	22	4-5	0-0	2-4	6	1	0	0	10
Jamier Jones	F	22	3-7	1-1	3-3	7	3	0	1	10
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	30	4-12	1-5	0-0	5	2	1	0	9
Jaylin Sellers	G	24	3-8	1-3	2-2	7	1	0	0	9
Cole Hargrove	F	18	1-2	0-0	4-4	6	0	1	0	6
Jaylen Harrell	G	12	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Nilavan Daniels	G	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Ryan Mela	G	13	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	2

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Boyd	G	32	15-25	4-9	2-4	7	7	0	0	36
Austin Rapp	F	31	7-15	5-11	1-2	8	1	1	3	20
Nolan Winter	F	26	7-9	0-1	5-6	10	1	1	1	19
John Blackwell	G	23	2-10	1-6	6-8	4	2	3	0	11
Jack Janicki	G	20	3-3	3-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	9
Andrew Rohde	G	25	2-8	0-3	0-0	2	4	3	0	4
Isaac Gard	G	1	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Will Garlock	F	8	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	1	0	0	1
Hayden Jones	G	3	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Braeden Carrington	G	16	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	4	0	0	0
Aleksas Bieliauskas	F	12	0-3	0-3	0-0	4	0	1	1	0
Jack Robison	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Riccardo Greppi	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

81.8Possessions81.8

101.5Offensive Efficiency127.1

127.1Defensive Efficiency101.5

-25.7Net Efficiency25.7

53.0%Effective FG%57.1%

56.0%True Shooting %58.8%

17.3%Turnover Rate9.7%

22.4%Free Throw Rate31.2%

41.8%3-Point Rate51.9%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.63

Game Summary

Wisconsin won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 81.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.