Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.4%Tarleton State

91.6%Cincinnati

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -14.7

PROJECTED TOTAL144.8

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -1090

Cincinnati

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 65

Projected Total144.8

Projected ScoreCincinnati 80

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricCincinnati

44.6MMH Power Index61.5

103.2Offensive Efficiency105.3

101.6Defensive Efficiency97.3

1.6Net Efficiency8.0

-2.3Strength of Schedule5.1

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency14.4

72.2Tempo69.4

49.0%Effective FG%50.6%

19.9%Turnover Rate17.0%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

42.8%Free Throw Rate30.7%

1.1Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–44.6), offensive efficiency (105.3–103.2), defensive efficiency (97.3–101.6), net efficiency (8.0–1.6).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.8–30.6), free throw rate (42.8–30.7).

Final

Tarleton State

58—76

Cincinnati

Cincinnati by 18 • 70.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATCincinnati

21-51FG26-56

41.0%FG%46.0%

8-203PT15-36

40.0%3PT%42.0%

8-14FT9-15

57.0%FT%60.0%

23Rebounds38

5Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists16

19Turnovers21

9Steals9

1Blocks7

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ocypher Owens	F	36	5-14	2-4	4-7	6	4	2	0	16
Kaia Isaac	G	37	6-11	1-4	0-1	5	2	1	0	13
Freddy Hicks	G	33	3-6	2-3	4-6	2	1	0	0	12
Kade Douglas	G	27	3-9	2-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	8
Leroy Kelly IV	G	20	2-5	1-4	0-0	1	0	2	0	5
Jordan Mizell	G	40	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	2	4	1	4
Damion Porter Jr.	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cameron Thomas	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Matyas Vrabel	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kerr Kriisa	G	30	7-12	6-11	0-0	1	3	0	0	20
Day Day Thomas	G	33	6-14	5-11	2-3	5	6	0	0	19
Baba Miller	F	29	4-6	0-1	5-7	11	3	2	2	13
Shon Abaev	G	20	4-10	1-4	1-1	7	2	2	0	10
Sencire Harris	G	27	2-6	1-4	1-2	3	1	2	0	6
Jalen Celestine	G	17	2-5	2-5	0-0	1	0	1	1	6
Tyler McKinley	F	16	1-2	0-0	0-2	4	0	1	0	2
Moustapha Thiam	C	22	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	4	0
Keyshuan Tillery	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Jordi Rodriguez	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Grant Darbyshire	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.9Possessions70.9

81.8Offensive Efficiency107.2

107.2Defensive Efficiency81.8

-25.4Net Efficiency25.4

49.0%Effective FG%59.8%

50.3%True Shooting %60.2%

26.5%Turnover Rate29.9%

27.5%Free Throw Rate26.8%

39.2%3-Point Rate64.3%

0.53Assist / Turnover0.76

Game Summary

Cincinnati won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 70.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.