Bowling Green

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.4%Bowling Green

41.6%Kansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBowling Green -2.9

PROJECTED TOTAL160.8

MODEL MONEYLINEBowling Green -140

Kansas State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBowling Green 82

Projected Total160.8

Projected ScoreKansas State 79

Team Comparison

Bowling GreenMetricKansas State

54.7MMH Power Index47.1

112.6Offensive Efficiency107.8

99.1Defensive Efficiency110.9

13.5Net Efficiency-3.1

-4.7Strength of Schedule5.5

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.3

72.2Tempo73.8

53.4%Effective FG%53.5%

15.9%Turnover Rate17.4%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %29.4%

38.7%Free Throw Rate27.4%

9.8Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bowling Green HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBowling Green holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.7–47.1), offensive efficiency (112.6–107.8), defensive efficiency (99.1–110.9), net efficiency (13.5–-3.1).

Kansas State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.5–-4.7), shooting efficiency (53.5–53.4), offensive rebounding (29.4–29.2).

Final

Bowling Green

82—66

Kansas State

Bowling Green by 16 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Bowling GreenTEAM STATKansas State

28-62FG24-61

45.0%FG%39.0%

12-263PT6-23

46.0%3PT%26.0%

14-19FT12-22

74.0%FT%55.0%

39Rebounds32

15Offensive Rebounds13

16Assists11

8Turnovers6

3Steals3

2Blocks3

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sam Towns	F	34	9-14	3-5	6-6	8	2	2	0	27
Javon Ruffin	G	38	5-11	5-8	2-2	5	3	0	0	17
Javontae Campbell	G	33	6-11	1-2	4-7	6	5	0	0	17
Josiah Shackelford	G	25	3-10	2-6	1-2	5	2	1	0	9
Justin Thomas	G	35	2-6	1-2	1-2	3	3	0	0	6
Mayar Wol	F	12	2-5	0-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Troy Glover II	F	23	1-5	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	2	2

Kansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David Castillo	G	33	8-15	3-9	3-4	1	1	0	0	22
P.J. Haggerty	G	32	6-19	1-4	4-9	4	2	1	0	17
Khamari McGriff	F	23	4-5	0-0	1-5	5	2	0	3	9
Abdi Bashir Jr.	G	22	3-10	2-7	0-0	2	1	0	0	8
Nate Johnson	G	32	2-6	0-1	0-0	4	2	2	0	4
C.J. Jones	G	20	1-3	0-1	2-2	1	1	0	0	4
Taj Manning	F	13	0-1	0-1	2-2	4	0	0	0	2
Mobi Ikegwuruka	G	16	0-2	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	0	0
Elias Rapieque	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Marcus Johnson	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

127.5Offensive Efficiency102.6

102.6Defensive Efficiency127.5

24.9Net Efficiency-24.9

54.8%Effective FG%44.3%

57.7%True Shooting %46.2%

12.5%Turnover Rate9.3%

30.6%Free Throw Rate36.1%

41.9%3-Point Rate37.7%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.83

Game Summary

Bowling Green won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.