California Baptist

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.9%California Baptist

47.1%Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -112

Colorado

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 76

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreColorado 76

Team Comparison

California BaptistMetricColorado

58.3MMH Power Index52.7

106.5Offensive Efficiency112.9

99.0Defensive Efficiency112.4

7.5Net Efficiency0.5

1.8Strength of Schedule5.1

11.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

68.2Tempo71.0

48.8%Effective FG%53.0%

17.9%Turnover Rate14.6%

37.0%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

37.0%Free Throw Rate37.9%

5.1Average Margin0.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–52.7), defensive efficiency (99.0–112.4), net efficiency (7.5–0.5), recent form (11.0–-7.7).

Colorado COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.9–106.5), strength of schedule (5.1–1.8), shooting efficiency (53.0–48.8).

Final

California Baptist

70—78

Colorado

Colorado by 8 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

California BaptistTEAM STATColorado

25-62FG24-53

40.0%FG%45.0%

2-133PT6-16

15.0%3PT%38.0%

18-24FT24-31

75.0%FT%77.0%

35Rebounds41

14Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists11

11Turnovers10

7Steals4

2Blocks6

23Fouls18

Player Box Score

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	40	7-19	1-5	10-11	5	3	2	0	25
Martel Williams	G	37	6-13	0-2	2-3	5	1	2	0	14
Jordan Muller	G	34	3-7	1-1	1-3	5	4	1	0	8
Jonathan Griman	F	25	3-6	0-2	2-2	0	0	1	1	8
Devon Malcolm	F	21	3-7	0-3	2-3	1	0	1	1	8
Thomas Ndong	F	16	2-3	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	5
Bradey Henige	F	22	1-7	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	0	2
Nate Garcia	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Monty Bowser	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jalen Dollar	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Johnson	G	27	4-7	0-1	9-11	3	3	0	0	17
Barrington Hargress	G	32	4-8	0-0	4-4	2	2	2	0	12
Sebastian Rancik	F	30	3-7	2-3	4-4	5	0	1	1	12
Alon Michaeli	F	21	4-8	2-5	1-2	7	1	0	1	11
Josiah Sanders	G	17	2-3	1-1	2-4	5	1	0	0	7
Felix Kossaras	G	23	3-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Elijah Malone	C	12	3-6	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	6
Bangot Dak	F	23	1-7	1-2	2-2	8	3	1	2	5
Jalin Holland	G	14	0-2	0-2	2-4	2	1	0	0	2
Ian Inman	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

102.8Offensive Efficiency114.5

114.5Defensive Efficiency102.8

-11.7Net Efficiency11.7

41.9%Effective FG%50.9%

47.7%True Shooting %57.6%

15.6%Turnover Rate15.2%

38.7%Free Throw Rate58.5%

21.0%3-Point Rate30.2%

0.82Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

Colorado won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.