Iowa

24-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.4%Iowa

75.6%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL144.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -310

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa 68

Projected Total144.6

Projected ScoreMichigan State 76

Team Comparison

IowaMetricMichigan State

64.2MMH Power Index69.8

118.4Offensive Efficiency117.0

105.2Defensive Efficiency101.5

13.2Net Efficiency15.5

5.3Strength of Schedule7.2

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

63.0Tempo67.3

56.6%Effective FG%54.1%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

36.2%Free Throw Rate36.6%

8.3Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–64.2), defensive efficiency (101.5–105.2), net efficiency (15.5–13.2), strength of schedule (7.2–5.3).

Iowa COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.4–117.0), shooting efficiency (56.6–54.1), ball security (15.1–17.2).

Final

Iowa

52—71

Michigan State

Michigan State by 19 • 58.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IowaTEAM STATMichigan State

17-45FG23-46

38.0%FG%50.0%

7-233PT3-12

30.0%3PT%25.0%

11-17FT22-25

65.0%FT%88.0%

18Rebounds37

6Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists13

11Turnovers14

7Steals4

1Blocks3

22Fouls19

Player Box Score

Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bennett Stirtz	G	37	4-10	3-8	3-6	2	4	2	0	14
Brendan Hausen	G	8	2-4	1-3	2-2	0	0	0	0	7
Cooper Koch	F	30	2-6	2-5	0-1	2	2	2	0	6
Cam Manyawu	F	22	3-5	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	6
Isaia Howard	G	21	1-6	1-2	2-2	1	1	0	0	5
Kael Combs	G	28	1-4	0-1	2-2	0	2	2	0	4
Tavion Banks	G	18	1-2	0-1	1-2	1	1	0	1	3
Tate Sage	G	12	1-3	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Alvaro Folgueiras	F	18	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Joey Matteoni	F	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Trevin Jirak	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Coen Carr	F	27	5-8	0-1	5-5	5	1	0	0	15
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	30	2-6	0-2	10-10	1	6	1	0	14
Jaxon Kohler	F	30	5-12	0-2	2-2	11	1	0	2	12
Jesse McCulloch	F	17	4-6	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	9
Kur Teng	G	16	3-6	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
Jordan Scott	F	20	2-3	1-2	1-2	5	1	2	0	6
Carson Cooper	C	20	1-3	0-0	1-2	5	2	0	1	3
Denham Wojcik	G	7	0-0	0-0	3-4	0	0	0	0	3
Divine Ugochukwu	G	16	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Trey Fort	G	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nick Sanders	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Colin Walton	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brennan Walton	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.5Possessions58.5

88.9Offensive Efficiency121.4

121.4Defensive Efficiency88.9

-32.5Net Efficiency32.5

45.6%Effective FG%53.3%

49.0%True Shooting %61.3%

18.9%Turnover Rate23.8%

37.8%Free Throw Rate54.3%

51.1%3-Point Rate26.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 58.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.