Florida

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.5%Florida

67.5%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL154.3

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -208

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida 74

Projected Total154.3

Projected ScoreDuke 80

Team Comparison

FloridaMetricDuke

79.7MMH Power Index81.7

120.9Offensive Efficiency122.2

99.3Defensive Efficiency95.2

21.6Net Efficiency27.0

7.1Strength of Schedule7.8

24.2Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

72.0Tempo66.8

54.2%Effective FG%56.9%

16.3%Turnover Rate15.9%

42.8%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

39.8%Free Throw Rate39.0%

15.6Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–79.7), offensive efficiency (122.2–120.9), defensive efficiency (95.2–99.3), net efficiency (27.0–21.6).

Florida COUNTERS WITHrecent form (24.2–18.7), offensive rebounding (42.8–38.2), free throw rate (39.8–39.0).

Final

Florida

66—67

Duke

Duke by 1 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FloridaTEAM STATDuke

25-67FG25-56

37.0%FG%45.0%

7-283PT7-26

25.0%3PT%27.0%

9-12FT10-16

75.0%FT%63.0%

44Rebounds33

20Offensive Rebounds11

4Assists13

13Turnovers12

7Steals7

2Blocks11

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Thomas Haugh	F	40	9-15	2-5	4-4	6	1	1	1	24
Boogie Fland	G	29	7-16	2-7	0-0	1	0	3	0	16
Alex Condon	F	37	4-11	0-3	4-6	10	0	0	0	12
Urban Klavzar	G	26	2-9	2-7	0-0	1	2	2	0	6
Rueben Chinyelu	C	28	2-4	0-0	0-0	14	0	0	0	4
Xaivian Lee	G	26	1-10	1-6	1-2	4	1	1	0	4
Micah Handlogten	C	14	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Boozer	F	36	10-21	3-9	6-7	6	2	1	0	29
Isaiah Evans	G	29	5-14	1-8	2-3	1	1	0	5	13
Patrick Ngongba II	C	34	4-6	2-3	1-2	5	5	0	5	11
Caleb Foster	G	34	2-7	1-4	1-3	5	2	1	0	6
Maliq Brown	F	19	3-4	0-0	0-0	6	0	2	1	6
Cayden Boozer	G	10	1-1	0-0	0-1	0	2	0	0	2
Dame Sarr	G	17	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	2	0	0
Nikolas Khamenia	G	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Darren Harris	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

101.2Offensive Efficiency102.8

102.8Defensive Efficiency101.2

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

42.5%Effective FG%50.9%

45.4%True Shooting %52.7%

19.8%Turnover Rate18.6%

17.9%Free Throw Rate28.6%

41.8%3-Point Rate46.4%

0.31Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Duke won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.