Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.9%Northwestern

82.1%Wisconsin

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWisconsin -10.7

PROJECTED TOTAL154.5

MODEL MONEYLINEWisconsin -459

Wisconsin

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 72

Projected Total154.5

Projected ScoreWisconsin 83

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricWisconsin

55.4MMH Power Index64.5

111.6Offensive Efficiency118.6

109.8Defensive Efficiency108.8

1.8Net Efficiency9.8

5.6Strength of Schedule6.7

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency5.6

65.6Tempo69.9

51.9%Effective FG%54.6%

13.0%Turnover Rate12.8%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

34.8%Free Throw Rate32.5%

1.2Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wisconsin HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWisconsin holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.5–55.4), offensive efficiency (118.6–111.6), defensive efficiency (108.8–109.8), net efficiency (9.8–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (34.8–32.5).

Final

Northwestern

73—85

Wisconsin

Wisconsin by 12 • 69.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATWisconsin

25-59FG28-64

42.0%FG%44.0%

4-193PT11-31

21.0%3PT%35.0%

19-23FT18-21

83.0%FT%86.0%

37Rebounds33

11Offensive Rebounds13

15Assists19

12Turnovers7

3Steals7

4Blocks1

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Arrinten Page	F	31	8-13	0-2	5-6	6	1	2	3	21
Nick Martinelli	F	32	4-8	0-1	6-8	8	2	0	0	14
Jordan Clayton	G	24	3-6	1-4	2-3	0	4	0	0	9
Tre Singleton	F	26	3-6	0-1	2-2	10	0	1	0	8
Jayden Reid	G	20	3-10	1-5	0-0	0	4	0	0	7
Tyler Kropp	F	9	1-4	0-0	4-4	2	0	0	0	6
K.J. Windham	G	17	1-4	1-3	0-0	4	2	0	0	3
Jake West	G	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Angelo Ciaravino	G	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	1	2
Max Green	G	11	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Justin Mullins	G	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Phoenix Gill	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Blackwell	G	37	8-18	5-10	5-5	11	1	3	0	26
Nick Boyd	G	29	7-16	1-5	5-6	2	4	2	0	20
Austin Rapp	F	26	5-8	3-6	0-0	3	2	0	0	13
Nolan Winter	F	23	4-5	0-1	4-4	4	1	1	0	12
Aleksas Bieliauskas	F	20	2-5	1-1	1-1	3	0	0	0	6
Jack Janicki	G	14	2-6	1-4	0-0	1	0	1	1	5
Andrew Rohde	G	27	0-3	0-2	3-4	2	9	0	0	3
Braeden Carrington	G	11	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Will Garlock	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	1	0	0	0
Riccardo Greppi	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jack Robison	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Hayden Jones	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Gard	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.5Possessions69.5

105.0Offensive Efficiency122.3

122.3Defensive Efficiency105.0

-17.3Net Efficiency17.3

45.8%Effective FG%52.3%

52.2%True Shooting %57.5%

16.9%Turnover Rate10.3%

39.0%Free Throw Rate32.8%

32.2%3-Point Rate48.4%

1.25Assist / Turnover2.71

Game Summary

Wisconsin won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 69.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.