Louisville

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.0%Louisville

68.0%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -4.5

PROJECTED TOTAL169.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -212

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisville 82

Projected Total169.3

Projected ScoreArkansas 87

Team Comparison

LouisvilleMetricArkansas

67.1MMH Power Index69.3

118.6Offensive Efficiency122.2

102.2Defensive Efficiency109.8

16.4Net Efficiency12.4

6.0Strength of Schedule8.6

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

71.0Tempo73.8

56.9%Effective FG%56.4%

16.8%Turnover Rate12.2%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

34.1%Free Throw Rate36.5%

11.7Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–67.1), offensive efficiency (122.2–118.6), strength of schedule (8.6–6.0), recent form (3.4–1.4).

Louisville COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.2–109.8), net efficiency (16.4–12.4), shooting efficiency (56.9–56.4).

Final

Louisville

80—89

Arkansas

Arkansas by 9 • 75.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisvilleTEAM STATArkansas

29-70FG28-67

41.0%FG%42.0%

8-373PT6-18

22.0%3PT%33.0%

14-18FT27-35

78.0%FT%77.0%

36Rebounds46

12Offensive Rebounds18

13Assists14

9Turnovers10

2Steals5

3Blocks3

25Fouls15

Player Box Score

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mikel Brown Jr.	G	34	7-19	2-13	6-10	5	3	0	0	22
Ryan Conwell	G	33	4-16	3-12	4-4	1	4	0	0	15
Sananda Fru	F	29	7-9	0-0	0-0	8	1	0	2	14
Isaac McKneely	G	30	3-8	1-5	4-4	4	1	0	0	11
J'Vonne Hadley	G	28	3-6	1-1	0-0	6	0	0	0	7
Adrian Wooley	G	14	2-3	1-2	0-0	5	2	0	0	5
Kasean Pryor	F	6	2-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	4
Khani Rooths	F	9	1-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Kobe Rodgers	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Aly Khalifa	C	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	1	0

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trevon Brazile	F	32	8-11	3-4	2-3	5	0	2	1	21
Darius Acuff Jr.	G	36	6-18	0-4	5-7	5	10	0	0	17
Meleek Thomas	G	25	4-10	1-4	8-9	5	1	0	0	17
Malique Ewin	F	18	3-4	0-0	6-8	9	1	1	0	12
Billy Richmond III	G	27	2-4	0-1	6-6	4	2	0	1	10
Karter Knox	G	21	2-9	1-2	0-0	5	0	1	1	5
D.J. Wagner	G	19	2-8	1-3	0-2	1	0	1	0	5
Nick Pringle	F	22	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

75.6Possessions75.6

105.8Offensive Efficiency117.7

117.7Defensive Efficiency105.8

-11.9Net Efficiency11.9

47.1%Effective FG%46.3%

50.9%True Shooting %53.2%

11.9%Turnover Rate13.2%

25.7%Free Throw Rate52.2%

52.9%3-Point Rate26.9%

1.44Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 75.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.