Utah State

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.8%Utah State

70.2%South Florida

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Florida -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL162.0

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Florida -236

South Florida

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah State 78

Projected Total162.0

Projected ScoreSouth Florida 84

Team Comparison

Utah StateMetricSouth Florida

65.7MMH Power Index68.8

119.7Offensive Efficiency117.3

103.1Defensive Efficiency101.6

16.6Net Efficiency15.7

3.5Strength of Schedule1.8

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency19.7

68.6Tempo74.5

56.9%Effective FG%51.0%

15.1%Turnover Rate14.9%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %38.0%

39.1%Free Throw Rate41.8%

11.4Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Florida HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Florida holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.8–65.7), defensive efficiency (101.6–103.1), recent form (19.7–0.3), ball security (14.9–15.1).

Utah State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.7–117.3), net efficiency (16.6–15.7), strength of schedule (3.5–1.8).

Final

Utah State

61—74

South Florida

South Florida by 13 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah StateTEAM STATSouth Florida

22-62FG21-47

35.0%FG%45.0%

7-243PT8-21

29.0%3PT%38.0%

10-15FT24-32

67.0%FT%75.0%

34Rebounds40

12Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists13

14Turnovers17

8Steals7

5Blocks4

21Fouls14

Player Box Score

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mason Falslev	G	37	7-17	3-6	2-4	8	2	3	0	19
MJ Collins Jr.	G	31	5-13	1-4	8-9	1	0	1	0	19
Adlan Elamin	F	16	2-5	2-4	0-0	0	0	2	2	6
Garry Clark	F	23	2-6	0-0	0-2	6	1	1	2	4
Drake Allen	G	20	2-4	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	0	4
Elijah Perryman	G	17	1-2	1-1	0-0	4	5	0	0	3
Kolby King	G	20	1-5	0-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Tucker Anderson	F	11	1-4	0-3	0-0	2	2	0	1	2
Jordy Barnes	G	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Karson Templin	F	15	0-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zach Keller	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

South Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joseph Pinion	G	35	6-10	5-9	0-0	3	2	1	0	17
Izaiyah Nelson	F	24	2-2	0-0	7-8	10	0	2	2	11
CJ Brown	G	30	4-9	1-2	1-4	4	5	1	0	10
Josh Omojafo	G	29	3-8	1-3	3-4	3	1	1	0	10
Wes Enis	G	30	3-9	1-4	2-4	4	2	0	0	9
Adriel Nyorha	G	18	2-7	0-2	3-4	5	2	1	0	7
Daimion Collins	F	16	1-2	0-1	4-4	3	0	1	2	6
Isaiah Jones	F	16	0-0	0-0	4-4	3	0	0	0	4
Gavin Hightower	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

86.3Offensive Efficiency104.7

104.7Defensive Efficiency86.3

-18.4Net Efficiency18.4

41.1%Effective FG%53.2%

44.1%True Shooting %59.5%

19.7%Turnover Rate24.2%

24.2%Free Throw Rate68.1%

38.7%3-Point Rate44.7%

0.79Assist / Turnover0.76

Game Summary

South Florida won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.