UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.5%UC Davis

76.5%Hawai'i

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHawai'i -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINEHawai'i -326

Hawai'i

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 72

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreHawai'i 82

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricHawai'i

48.4MMH Power Index54.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency109.4

103.7Defensive Efficiency97.0

3.5Net Efficiency12.4

-1.9Strength of Schedule-2.8

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

72.4Tempo72.8

52.3%Effective FG%52.4%

17.7%Turnover Rate18.4%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %32.0%

41.5%Free Throw Rate43.4%

2.5Average Margin9.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Hawai'i HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHawai'i holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (109.4–107.2), defensive efficiency (97.0–103.7), net efficiency (12.4–3.5).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.9–-2.8), recent form (-0.1–-1.8), ball security (17.7–18.4).

Final

UC Davis

69—75

Hawai'i

Hawai'i by 6 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATHawai'i

25-59FG25-46

42.0%FG%54.0%

4-163PT7-16

25.0%3PT%44.0%

15-21FT18-31

71.0%FT%58.0%

32Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds5

11Assists12

11Turnovers15

9Steals8

2Blocks2

23Fouls21

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Connor Sevilla	G	35	7-12	1-4	2-4	1	1	0	0	17
Nils Cooper	G	33	7-13	0-1	0-0	5	1	2	0	14
Niko Rocak	F	28	3-5	1-3	6-6	8	0	2	0	13
Isaiah Chappell	F	25	2-6	2-3	5-6	6	0	0	1	11
Marcus Wilson	G	30	3-9	0-0	0-2	3	5	1	0	6
Brayden Fagbemi	G	20	1-8	0-4	1-2	3	4	2	0	3
Omer Suljanovic	F	17	1-4	0-1	1-1	1	0	1	0	3
Jalen Stokes	G	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	2
Chase Rawlins	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Hawai'i

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dre Bullock	G	34	4-7	2-4	5-9	6	3	4	0	15
Hunter Erickson	G	25	5-7	3-5	1-3	3	2	0	0	14
Yacine Toumi	F	20	4-4	0-0	5-6	2	1	2	2	13
Aaron Hunkin-Claytor	G	32	1-3	0-0	7-9	2	1	0	0	9
Isaiah Kerr	G	15	3-6	1-3	0-2	3	0	0	0	7
Gytis Nemeiksa	F	20	3-7	0-0	0-2	2	0	1	0	6
Isaac Finlinson	F	14	2-4	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Isaac Johnson	C	20	2-6	0-0	0-0	7	2	1	0	4
Harry Rouhliadeff	F	20	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	2	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

96.6Offensive Efficiency105.0

105.0Defensive Efficiency96.6

-8.4Net Efficiency8.4

45.8%Effective FG%62.0%

50.0%True Shooting %61.8%

15.3%Turnover Rate21.2%

35.6%Free Throw Rate67.4%

27.1%3-Point Rate34.8%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Hawai'i won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.