Long Beach State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.0%Long Beach State

84.0%UC Santa Barbara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -11.7

PROJECTED TOTAL154.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -525

UC Santa Barbara

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 71

Projected Total154.0

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 83

Team Comparison

Long Beach StateMetricUC Santa Barbara

41.1MMH Power Index51.4

103.8Offensive Efficiency113.2

107.8Defensive Efficiency106.1

-4.0Net Efficiency7.1

-1.4Strength of Schedule-2.0

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.7

72.2Tempo68.5

51.5%Effective FG%54.8%

17.7%Turnover Rate18.7%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

31.1%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-2.9Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–41.1), offensive efficiency (113.2–103.8), defensive efficiency (106.1–107.8), net efficiency (7.1–-4.0).

Long Beach State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-2.0), ball security (17.7–18.7).

Final

Long Beach State

77—84

UC Santa Barbara

UC Santa Barbara by 7 • 73.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Long Beach StateTEAM STATUC Santa Barbara

25-66FG22-51

38.0%FG%43.0%

8-243PT8-22

33.0%3PT%36.0%

19-24FT32-38

79.0%FT%84.0%

40Rebounds36

17Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists11

13Turnovers14

6Steals5

5Blocks1

30Fouls25

Player Box Score

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gavin Sykes	G	35	8-21	4-11	4-5	3	0	0	0	24
Shaquil Bender	G	25	6-16	1-3	6-7	5	3	0	0	19
Petar Majstorovic	F	44	4-8	1-4	3-4	4	1	2	0	12
Derrick Michael Xzavierro	F	17	2-4	0-0	4-5	10	0	0	1	8
Christian Jones	G	14	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	0	2	0	6
Cole Farrell	G	17	1-6	0-0	2-3	2	2	0	0	4
Shay Johnson Jr.	F	19	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	2	2
Rob Diaz III	G	13	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	1	2
Isaiah Lewis	G	32	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	3	2	1	0
JJ Chaikovsky	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aidan Mahaney	G	40	7-16	1-5	11-11	6	3	0	0	26
Colin Smith	F	34	3-8	2-6	10-11	4	0	3	0	18
Zion Sensley	G	33	5-11	4-7	0-0	5	2	0	0	14
Hosana Kitenge	F	22	4-5	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	8
CJ Shaw	G	30	1-4	0-2	5-8	2	1	0	0	7
Evans Kipruto	C	15	1-1	0-0	5-6	4	0	0	0	7
Marvin McGhee IV	G	28	1-3	1-2	0-0	6	1	1	1	3
Miro Little	G	12	0-2	0-0	1-2	3	2	1	0	1
Michael Simcoe	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Zachiah Clark	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.8Possessions73.8

104.3Offensive Efficiency113.8

113.8Defensive Efficiency104.3

-9.5Net Efficiency9.5

43.9%Effective FG%51.0%

49.7%True Shooting %60.8%

17.7%Turnover Rate18.9%

36.4%Free Throw Rate74.5%

36.4%3-Point Rate43.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

UC Santa Barbara won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 73.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.