Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.6%Cal State Bakersfield

92.4%Cal State Northridge

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -16.8

PROJECTED TOTAL162.4

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -1216

Cal State Northridge

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 73

Projected Total162.4

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 90

Team Comparison

Cal State BakersfieldMetricCal State Northridge

32.2MMH Power Index50

100.2Offensive Efficiency107.3

112.6Defensive Efficiency105.2

-12.4Net Efficiency2.1

-1.7Strength of Schedule-0.6

-18.5Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

73.0Tempo75.9

46.4%Effective FG%51.0%

18.6%Turnover Rate17.3%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

43.8%Free Throw Rate34.7%

-9.1Average Margin1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–32.2), offensive efficiency (107.3–100.2), defensive efficiency (105.2–112.6), net efficiency (2.1–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (43.8–34.7).

Final

Cal State Bakersfield

66—87

Cal State Northridge

Cal State Northridge by 21 • 74.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State BakersfieldTEAM STATCal State Northridge

21-60FG34-64

35.0%FG%53.0%

5-203PT6-21

25.0%3PT%29.0%

19-24FT13-25

79.0%FT%52.0%

37Rebounds40

15Offensive Rebounds15

8Assists23

18Turnovers13

5Steals9

6Blocks3

18Fouls19

Player Box Score

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dailin Smith	G	37	3-14	0-6	12-13	4	1	0	0	18
Ronald Jessamy	F	30	5-10	0-0	6-9	5	2	2	4	16
AJ George	G	33	5-9	0-1	0-0	9	1	0	0	10
CJ Hardy	G	35	3-13	2-5	0-0	4	2	2	0	8
Kadar Waller	G	18	2-6	1-3	1-2	1	0	1	0	6
Tom Mark	F	19	1-2	1-2	0-0	5	1	0	2	3
Mike Price	G	7	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Dylan Purnell	G	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jaden Alexander	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Larry Hughes II	G	35	8-16	5-12	6-8	6	5	4	0	27
Mahmoud Fofana	F	35	7-14	0-2	1-2	8	2	1	2	15
Josiah Davis	G	35	6-12	0-1	3-5	3	8	0	0	15
Joshua O'Garro	G	31	7-11	0-2	1-4	9	2	0	0	15
Davius Loury	F	11	3-4	1-1	0-2	1	1	0	0	7
Grady Lewis	F	18	2-3	0-0	1-2	2	1	2	0	5
James Evans Jr.	G	12	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	2	1	1	2
Jai Chisolm	G	5	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Jordan Brinson	G	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	2	1	0	0
Aleks Szymczyk	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.2Possessions74.2

88.9Offensive Efficiency117.3

117.3Defensive Efficiency88.9

-28.3Net Efficiency28.3

39.2%Effective FG%57.8%

46.2%True Shooting %57.3%

24.2%Turnover Rate17.6%

40.0%Free Throw Rate39.1%

33.3%3-Point Rate32.8%

0.44Assist / Turnover1.77

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 74.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.