Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.3%Cal Poly

69.7%Cal State Fullerton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -6.6

PROJECTED TOTAL171.9

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -230

Cal State Fullerton

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 83

Projected Total171.9

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 89

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricCal State Fullerton

46.5MMH Power Index49.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency108.8

111.0Defensive Efficiency107.1

-3.8Net Efficiency1.7

1.7Strength of Schedule-1.2

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

76.6Tempo76.3

52.2%Effective FG%52.6%

19.8%Turnover Rate15.1%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %25.5%

35.8%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-2.9Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Fullerton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Fullerton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–46.5), offensive efficiency (108.8–107.2), defensive efficiency (107.1–111.0), net efficiency (1.7–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-1.2), offensive rebounding (29.9–25.5).

Final

Cal Poly

94—91

Cal State Fullerton

Cal Poly by 3 • 85.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATCal State Fullerton

27-55FG31-66

49.0%FG%47.0%

18-373PT9-23

49.0%3PT%39.0%

22-30FT20-29

73.0%FT%69.0%

33Rebounds36

5Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists12

22Turnovers17

8Steals8

3Blocks1

28Fouls26

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Peter Bandelj	G	30	11-13	9-10	6-6	5	3	1	0	37
Hamad Mousa	G	27	8-13	4-8	7-9	7	2	3	2	27
Guzman Vasilic	G	28	5-10	3-8	2-2	4	0	1	0	15
Cayden Ward	G	29	3-9	2-5	3-6	3	1	1	0	11
Jake Davis	G	15	0-3	0-2	2-2	4	2	0	0	2
Luka Tarlac	G	24	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	6	0	0	1
Kieran Elliott	G	9	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Austin Goode	F	13	0-3	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Ali Assran	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-1	2	1	1	1	0
Troy Plumtree	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Henderson	G	24	8-13	4-6	1-2	2	3	2	0	21
KJ Garris	G	25	6-9	1-3	6-7	6	1	2	0	19
Landon Seaman	F	22	6-8	0-0	3-5	3	0	0	0	15
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	27	4-12	1-4	2-2	3	3	1	1	11
Joshua Ward	G	33	3-9	1-2	3-5	6	3	1	0	10
Christian Williams	G	27	2-6	2-4	1-2	4	1	2	0	7
Bryce Cofield	G	9	2-5	0-1	2-3	1	0	0	0	6
Kendrick De Luna	F	17	0-1	0-0	2-3	2	0	0	0	2
Davis White	G	16	0-3	0-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

85.6Possessions85.6

109.8Offensive Efficiency106.3

106.3Defensive Efficiency109.8

3.5Net Efficiency-3.5

65.5%Effective FG%53.8%

67.9%True Shooting %57.0%

25.5%Turnover Rate20.1%

54.5%Free Throw Rate43.9%

67.3%3-Point Rate34.8%

0.68Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Cal Poly won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 85.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.