Fresno State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.8%Fresno State

95.2%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -18.8

PROJECTED TOTAL162.2

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -1983

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFresno State 72

Projected Total162.2

Projected ScoreArkansas 90

Team Comparison

Fresno StateMetricArkansas

47.1MMH Power Index69.3

104.9Offensive Efficiency122.2

104.9Defensive Efficiency109.8

0.0Net Efficiency12.4

1.5Strength of Schedule8.6

-6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

69.4Tempo73.8

51.3%Effective FG%56.4%

18.2%Turnover Rate12.2%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

35.5%Free Throw Rate36.5%

0.0Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–47.1), offensive efficiency (122.2–104.9), net efficiency (12.4–0.0), strength of schedule (8.6–1.5).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.9–109.8).

Final

Fresno State

58—82

Arkansas

Arkansas by 24 • 73.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Fresno StateTEAM STATArkansas

22-63FG30-66

35.0%FG%45.0%

4-263PT11-30

15.0%3PT%37.0%

10-13FT11-17

77.0%FT%65.0%

41Rebounds39

12Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists18

17Turnovers8

4Steals11

1Blocks5

14Fouls15

Player Box Score

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wilson Jacques	C	32	5-9	1-1	1-2	14	3	0	1	12
Jac Mani	F	17	4-7	2-4	2-2	6	0	0	0	12
Jake Heidbreder	G	34	1-10	0-5	6-6	1	1	2	0	8
Cameron Faas	G	11	3-6	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
DJ Stickman	G	9	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Zaon Collins	G	30	2-14	0-5	0-0	2	2	0	0	4
DeShawn Gory	F	19	2-6	0-3	0-1	3	0	0	0	4
David Douglas Jr.	G	12	1-4	0-2	1-2	4	0	0	0	3
Makhan Diouf	F	11	1-3	0-2	0-0	5	0	2	0	2
Gasper Kocevar	C	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Bastien Rieber	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	5	0	0	0
Matteo Porto	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Acuff Jr.	G	34	7-12	3-6	1-2	5	8	1	0	18
D.J. Wagner	G	30	4-10	2-8	2-2	0	0	0	1	12
Meleek Thomas	G	21	4-12	3-7	1-2	1	1	3	0	12
Karter Knox	G	25	4-9	3-5	0-0	4	3	1	1	11
Malique Ewin	F	16	4-6	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	2	9
Isaiah Sealy	G	10	2-3	0-1	4-6	3	0	2	0	8
Billy Richmond III	G	12	3-5	0-1	0-0	1	4	0	0	6
Trevon Brazile	F	29	1-7	0-2	2-3	6	1	4	1	4
Nick Pringle	F	23	1-2	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

73.2Possessions73.2

79.2Offensive Efficiency112.0

112.0Defensive Efficiency79.2

-32.8Net Efficiency32.8

38.1%Effective FG%53.8%

41.9%True Shooting %55.3%

22.9%Turnover Rate11.1%

20.6%Free Throw Rate25.8%

41.3%3-Point Rate45.5%

0.65Assist / Turnover2.25

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 24 points. The game played at approximately 73.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.