Iowa State

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.8%Iowa State

55.2%Purdue

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPurdue -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL151.8

MODEL MONEYLINEPurdue -123

Purdue

30-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa State 75

Projected Total151.8

Projected ScorePurdue 76

Team Comparison

Iowa StateMetricPurdue

75.9MMH Power Index73.2

119.3Offensive Efficiency124.8

96.0Defensive Efficiency107.8

23.3Net Efficiency17.0

4.9Strength of Schedule7.6

17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency11.8

68.4Tempo65.4

56.1%Effective FG%57.8%

15.0%Turnover Rate13.7%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

35.2%Free Throw Rate29.1%

15.9Average Margin11.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–73.2), defensive efficiency (96.0–107.8), net efficiency (23.3–17.0), recent form (17.5–11.8).

Purdue COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (124.8–119.3), strength of schedule (7.6–4.9), shooting efficiency (57.8–56.1).

Final

Iowa State

81—58

Purdue

Iowa State by 23 • 65.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Iowa StateTEAM STATPurdue

33-61FG24-59

54.0%FG%41.0%

11-233PT4-18

48.0%3PT%22.0%

4-6FT6-14

67.0%FT%43.0%

32Rebounds33

11Offensive Rebounds15

19Assists17

12Turnovers15

6Steals7

6Blocks2

17Fouls10

Player Box Score

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Milan Momcilovic	F	36	8-17	3-7	1-1	1	1	2	0	20
Killyan Toure	G	28	5-9	3-5	0-0	5	1	2	0	13
Blake Buchanan	F	30	6-9	0-0	0-1	9	2	0	2	12
Joshua Jefferson	F	22	4-8	3-4	0-0	2	4	1	2	11
Tamin Lipsey	G	32	4-7	1-3	0-0	5	8	0	0	9
Nate Heise	G	29	3-7	1-4	0-0	4	3	1	1	7
Dominick Nelson	G	9	2-3	0-0	3-4	1	0	0	0	7
Dominykas Pleta	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Jamarion Batemon	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braden Smith	G	36	5-9	1-2	0-1	5	8	4	1	11
Oscar Cluff	C	23	5-6	0-0	0-1	6	0	0	0	10
Daniel Jacobsen	C	15	4-6	0-0	2-4	3	0	0	1	10
C.J. Cox	G	23	3-6	1-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	7
Fletcher Loyer	G	25	2-8	1-5	0-1	0	3	0	0	5
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	28	1-8	0-0	2-5	9	4	1	0	4
Omer Mayer	G	13	1-7	0-3	2-2	0	0	1	0	4
Liam Murphy	F	5	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Gicarri Harris	G	18	1-5	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jack Benter	G	14	1-2	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

65.3Possessions65.3

124.0Offensive Efficiency88.8

88.8Defensive Efficiency124.0

35.2Net Efficiency-35.2

63.1%Effective FG%44.1%

63.4%True Shooting %44.2%

18.5%Turnover Rate22.8%

9.8%Free Throw Rate23.7%

37.7%3-Point Rate30.5%

1.58Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 65.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.