Indiana

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.2%Indiana

81.8%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -10.8

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -449

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana 73

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreLouisville 84

Team Comparison

IndianaMetricLouisville

58.2MMH Power Index67.1

116.0Offensive Efficiency118.6

107.1Defensive Efficiency102.2

8.9Net Efficiency16.4

5.2Strength of Schedule6.0

-7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

67.4Tempo71.0

56.0%Effective FG%56.9%

15.1%Turnover Rate16.8%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

35.8%Free Throw Rate34.1%

6.0Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–58.2), offensive efficiency (118.6–116.0), defensive efficiency (102.2–107.1), net efficiency (16.4–8.9).

Indiana COUNTERS WITHball security (15.1–16.8), free throw rate (35.8–34.1).

Final

Indiana

78—87

Louisville

Louisville by 9 • 74.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IndianaTEAM STATLouisville

26-63FG25-54

41.0%FG%46.0%

11-343PT13-31

32.0%3PT%42.0%

15-19FT24-28

79.0%FT%86.0%

34Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds7

14Assists15

13Turnovers13

4Steals9

1Blocks5

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tucker DeVries	F	35	5-14	4-11	12-13	5	1	0	0	26
Nick Dorn	G	16	5-7	5-7	0-0	5	0	0	0	15
Lamar Wilkerson	G	36	5-15	2-9	0-0	1	4	2	0	12
Reed Bailey	F	24	3-5	0-1	2-3	5	2	0	0	8
Sam Alexis	F	17	3-7	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	6
Tayton Conerway	G	21	2-7	0-2	1-2	3	1	1	1	5
Trent Sisley	F	17	2-3	0-1	0-1	1	0	0	0	4
Conor Enright	G	34	1-5	0-3	0-0	3	4	1	0	2

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Conwell	G	31	4-10	3-7	10-11	4	2	1	1	21
J'Vonne Hadley	G	33	6-13	1-5	2-2	6	1	1	0	15
Isaac McKneely	G	30	5-9	5-9	0-0	3	1	2	0	15
Sananda Fru	F	30	3-3	1-1	5-7	7	1	3	1	12
Kobe Rodgers	G	13	4-4	2-2	2-2	2	1	1	1	12
Mikel Brown Jr.	G	27	2-8	0-4	5-5	1	3	0	0	9
Aly Khalifa	C	6	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	3	0	0	3
Adrian Wooley	G	19	0-3	0-0	0-0	6	2	0	0	0
Khani Rooths	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	0
Kasean Pryor	F	4	0-2	0-1	0-1	2	0	0	2	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.2Possessions74.2

105.1Offensive Efficiency117.3

117.3Defensive Efficiency105.1

-12.1Net Efficiency12.1

50.0%Effective FG%58.3%

54.1%True Shooting %64.6%

17.3%Turnover Rate17.7%

30.2%Free Throw Rate51.9%

54.0%3-Point Rate57.4%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

Louisville won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 74.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.