Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

59.2%Illinois

40.8%Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -1.1

PROJECTED TOTAL152.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -145

Tennessee

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 77

Projected Total152.2

Projected ScoreTennessee 76

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricTennessee

76.5MMH Power Index68.6

125.0Offensive Efficiency115.8

103.3Defensive Efficiency102.1

21.7Net Efficiency13.7

6.7Strength of Schedule7.8

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

66.5Tempo68.1

54.8%Effective FG%51.6%

13.1%Turnover Rate17.3%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %44.5%

33.8%Free Throw Rate38.6%

14.5Average Margin9.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–68.6), offensive efficiency (125.0–115.8), net efficiency (21.7–13.7), recent form (12.7–3.3).

Tennessee COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.1–103.3), strength of schedule (7.8–6.7), offensive rebounding (44.5–39.3).

Final

Illinois

75—62

Tennessee

Illinois by 13 • 61.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATTennessee

28-58FG24-65

48.0%FG%37.0%

11-283PT6-20

39.0%3PT%30.0%

8-14FT8-18

57.0%FT%44.0%

31Rebounds46

11Offensive Rebounds23

14Assists14

6Turnovers13

5Steals4

7Blocks4

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keaton Wagler	G	34	5-13	4-11	2-2	8	5	0	0	16
Tomislav Ivisic	C	31	7-13	2-6	0-0	5	3	1	1	16
Kylan Boswell	G	36	6-11	0-3	3-6	2	3	0	0	15
David Mirkovic	F	30	4-9	2-4	0-2	6	2	0	1	10
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	9	3-3	2-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	8
Andrej Stojakovic	G	21	2-5	0-1	1-2	2	0	2	2	5
Jake Davis	F	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Ben Humrichous	F	26	0-0	0-0	2-2	5	1	2	3	2
Mihailo Petrovic	G	6	0-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ja'Kobi Gillespie	G	35	6-20	3-9	0-0	5	5	0	0	15
Nate Ament	F	31	4-14	0-3	1-2	4	2	0	0	9
Amaree Abram	G	15	2-3	1-2	3-4	2	1	2	0	8
Bishop Boswell	G	26	2-5	2-5	1-2	7	1	1	0	7
Felix Okpara	F	28	2-5	0-1	1-6	6	1	0	2	5
Jaylen Carey	F	18	2-7	0-0	1-2	7	3	0	0	5
DeWayne Brown II	F	9	2-2	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	5
J.P. Estrella	F	7	2-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Cade Phillips	F	18	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	2
Amari Evans	G	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Ethan Burg	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.7Possessions61.7

121.6Offensive Efficiency100.5

100.5Defensive Efficiency121.6

21.1Net Efficiency-21.1

57.8%Effective FG%41.5%

58.0%True Shooting %42.1%

10.1%Turnover Rate20.5%

24.1%Free Throw Rate27.7%

48.3%3-Point Rate30.8%

2.33Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Illinois won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 61.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.