Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.7%Auburn

90.3%Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona -16.3

PROJECTED TOTAL162.9

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona -931

Arizona

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 73

Projected Total162.9

Projected ScoreArizona 90

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricArizona

64.4MMH Power Index79.9

118.8Offensive Efficiency120.3

113.0Defensive Efficiency96.9

5.8Net Efficiency23.4

7.5Strength of Schedule8.0

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency17.0

69.8Tempo71.6

53.1%Effective FG%55.0%

14.5%Turnover Rate15.1%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %37.8%

43.8%Free Throw Rate45.3%

4.1Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.9–64.4), offensive efficiency (120.3–118.8), defensive efficiency (96.9–113.0), net efficiency (23.4–5.8).

Auburn COUNTERS WITHball security (14.5–15.1).

Final

Auburn

68—97

Arizona

Arizona by 29 • 74.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATArizona

21-63FG41-67

33.0%FG%61.0%

6-253PT6-15

24.0%3PT%40.0%

20-25FT9-12

80.0%FT%75.0%

34Rebounds40

16Offensive Rebounds11

7Assists23

15Turnovers13

8Steals8

4Blocks3

15Fouls21

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tahaad Pettiford	G	35	10-19	5-9	5-5	3	1	1	1	30
Keyshawn Hall	F	36	3-11	1-4	6-6	4	0	1	1	13
KeShawn Murphy	F	28	4-8	0-1	0-0	8	1	1	0	8
Kevin Overton	G	27	1-8	0-4	6-6	2	2	2	0	8
Sebastian Williams-Adams	F	24	1-6	0-2	1-4	2	1	0	0	3
Elyjah Freeman	G	21	1-7	0-3	1-2	3	0	1	1	3
Kaden Magwood	G	11	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	2	0	2
Filip Jovic	F	18	0-0	0-0	1-2	5	1	0	1	1

Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Koa Peat	F	34	8-11	0-0	2-2	4	5	2	1	18
Jaden Bradley	G	31	6-11	2-3	2-3	4	4	0	0	16
Brayden Burries	G	28	7-11	0-3	2-3	5	1	0	0	16
Ivan Kharchenkov	F	29	5-9	2-3	0-0	5	8	3	1	12
Anthony Dell'Orso	G	20	5-8	1-2	0-0	0	2	1	0	11
Motiejus Krivas	C	23	4-6	0-0	0-1	9	1	1	1	8
Dwayne Aristode	F	13	2-4	1-3	3-3	1	1	0	0	8
Tobe Awaka	F	17	3-5	0-1	0-0	7	1	1	0	6
Sidi Gueye	F	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Evan Nelson	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Sven Djopmo	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Addison Arnold	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.3Possessions74.3

91.5Offensive Efficiency130.6

130.6Defensive Efficiency91.5

-39.0Net Efficiency39.0

38.1%Effective FG%65.7%

45.4%True Shooting %66.7%

20.3%Turnover Rate17.4%

39.7%Free Throw Rate17.9%

39.7%3-Point Rate22.4%

0.47Assist / Turnover1.77

Game Summary

Arizona won by 29 points. The game played at approximately 74.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.