Lafayette

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.0%Lafayette

88.0%Pennsylvania

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPennsylvania -13.2

PROJECTED TOTAL148.4

MODEL MONEYLINEPennsylvania -733

Pennsylvania

18-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLafayette 68

Projected Total148.4

Projected ScorePennsylvania 81

Team Comparison

LafayetteMetricPennsylvania

39.6MMH Power Index52.9

102.9Offensive Efficiency108.6

110.3Defensive Efficiency106.4

-7.4Net Efficiency2.2

-1.4Strength of Schedule1.9

-6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency2.3

67.5Tempo69.9

49.4%Effective FG%50.9%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.4%

25.7%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

33.0%Free Throw Rate36.3%

-5.0Average Margin1.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Pennsylvania HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPennsylvania holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.9–39.6), offensive efficiency (108.6–102.9), defensive efficiency (106.4–110.3), net efficiency (2.2–-7.4).

Final

Lafayette

72—74

Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania by 2 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LafayetteTEAM STATPennsylvania

27-59FG28-66

46.0%FG%42.0%

8-213PT6-19

38.0%3PT%32.0%

10-13FT12-19

77.0%FT%63.0%

35Rebounds37

6Offensive Rebounds13

15Assists18

13Turnovers9

5Steals6

5Blocks2

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Williams	G	37	8-16	4-8	1-1	1	2	0	0	21
Andrew Phillips	G	37	6-12	2-7	2-2	4	2	1	1	16
Mark Butler	G	37	6-10	0-0	2-2	3	5	1	0	14
Christian Humphrey-Rembert	F	36	2-8	2-6	2-2	8	0	0	1	8
Luke Bevilacqua	F	12	4-6	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	1	8
Misha Bednostin	C	12	0-1	0-0	3-4	3	2	0	1	3
Shareef Jackson	F	16	1-5	0-0	0-2	6	4	2	1	2
Folabomi Fayemi	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ashton Wallace	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Pennsylvania

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Augustus Gerhart	F	19	6-7	0-0	3-5	6	0	1	0	15
TJ Power	F	38	5-15	1-5	3-4	9	2	1	0	14
Dalton Scantlebury	C	18	6-9	0-0	2-3	3	0	1	1	14
Michael Zanoni	F	25	3-7	1-3	2-3	1	1	0	0	9
AJ Levine	G	32	3-8	2-4	0-0	5	8	0	0	8
Cam Thrower	G	23	2-9	1-2	1-2	3	4	1	0	6
Lucas Lueth	F	26	2-7	0-3	0-0	7	1	2	1	4
Dylan Williams	G	9	1-2	1-1	1-2	1	1	0	0	4
Jay Jones	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Johnnie Walter	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Niklas Polonowski	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

100.6Offensive Efficiency103.4

103.4Defensive Efficiency100.6

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

52.5%Effective FG%47.0%

55.2%True Shooting %49.3%

18.0%Turnover Rate12.7%

22.0%Free Throw Rate28.8%

35.6%3-Point Rate28.8%

1.15Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Pennsylvania won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.