Villanova

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.2%Villanova

94.8%Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan -19.4

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan -1823

Michigan

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 68

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreMichigan 88

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricMichigan

59.4MMH Power Index80.9

114.7Offensive Efficiency122.3

105.9Defensive Efficiency97.0

8.8Net Efficiency25.3

4.4Strength of Schedule8.7

-1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency17.2

67.3Tempo71.8

53.9%Effective FG%58.8%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.4%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %34.6%

31.4%Free Throw Rate38.9%

5.9Average Margin18.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (80.9–59.4), offensive efficiency (122.3–114.7), defensive efficiency (97.0–105.9), net efficiency (25.3–8.8).

Villanova COUNTERS WITHball security (15.0–16.4).

Final

Villanova

61—89

Michigan

Michigan by 28 • 77.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VillanovaTEAM STATMichigan

21-62FG33-69

34.0%FG%48.0%

10-373PT9-33

27.0%3PT%27.0%

9-14FT14-25

64.0%FT%56.0%

33Rebounds53

6Offensive Rebounds15

6Assists17

15Turnovers12

10Steals9

3Blocks5

21Fouls12

Player Box Score

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Askew	G	26	6-16	5-13	1-1	2	1	4	0	18
Chris Jeffrey	G	10	5-7	1-1	1-3	3	0	2	0	12
Acaden Lewis	G	25	4-11	1-5	2-4	6	3	1	0	11
Duke Brennan	F	22	1-4	0-0	3-4	6	1	0	0	5
Tyler Perkins	G	18	2-6	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Matt Hodge	F	30	1-7	1-7	0-0	3	0	1	0	3
Bryce Lindsay	G	19	1-5	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Tafara Gapare	F	24	0-2	0-2	2-2	4	0	0	3	2
Malachi Palmer	G	19	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	2	0	2
Braden Pierce	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Zion Stanford	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elliot Cadeau	G	24	7-13	4-8	0-0	3	4	2	0	18
Aday Mara	C	23	4-6	0-1	3-7	8	2	1	2	11
Trey McKenney	G	20	3-8	2-6	2-4	6	1	0	0	10
Yaxel Lendeborg	F	25	2-6	0-3	5-6	3	2	4	0	9
Roddy Gayle Jr.	G	19	4-9	0-2	1-2	7	2	0	0	9
L.J. Cason	G	18	4-6	0-2	0-0	0	3	0	0	8
Morez Johnson Jr.	F	22	3-5	0-1	1-3	10	2	0	2	7
Will Tschetter	F	12	2-3	1-2	2-3	3	0	0	1	7
Nimari Burnett	G	19	2-8	1-6	0-0	1	1	1	0	5
Winters Grady	G	5	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Malick Kordel	C	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Oscar Goodman	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Howard Eisley Jr.	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.8Possessions77.8

78.4Offensive Efficiency114.4

114.4Defensive Efficiency78.4

-36.0Net Efficiency36.0

41.9%Effective FG%54.3%

44.4%True Shooting %55.0%

19.3%Turnover Rate15.4%

22.6%Free Throw Rate36.2%

59.7%3-Point Rate47.8%

0.40Assist / Turnover1.42

Game Summary

Michigan won by 28 points. The game played at approximately 77.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.