Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

69.6%Illinois

30.4%Ohio State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL154.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -229

Ohio State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 80

Projected Total154.4

Projected ScoreOhio State 75

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricOhio State

76.5MMH Power Index64.5

125.0Offensive Efficiency118.1

103.3Defensive Efficiency108.1

21.7Net Efficiency10.0

6.7Strength of Schedule6.4

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency6.3

66.5Tempo67.2

54.8%Effective FG%56.9%

13.1%Turnover Rate15.3%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

33.8%Free Throw Rate38.3%

14.5Average Margin6.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–64.5), offensive efficiency (125.0–118.1), defensive efficiency (103.3–108.1), net efficiency (21.7–10.0).

Ohio State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (56.9–54.8), free throw rate (38.3–33.8).

Final

Illinois

88—80

Ohio State

Illinois by 8 • 69.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATOhio State

24-54FG28-61

44.0%FG%46.0%

11-273PT9-28

41.0%3PT%32.0%

29-32FT15-21

91.0%FT%71.0%

37Rebounds30

9Offensive Rebounds7

12Assists11

9Turnovers6

—Steals3

3Blocks2

21Fouls27

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Keaton Wagler	G	39	6-11	3-5	8-9	2	5	0	23
David Mirkovic	F	33	5-11	4-5	8-8	9	1	0	22
Andrej Stojakovic	G	27	5-10	0-3	7-7	4	1	0	17
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	18	4-6	2-4	3-4	8	0	1	13
Tomislav Ivisic	C	27	2-9	1-6	2-2	2	2	1	7
Kylan Boswell	G	31	1-4	1-2	1-2	4	1	0	4
Jake Davis	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Ben Humrichous	F	20	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	2	1	0
Mihailo Petrovic	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Ohio State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bruce Thornton	G	40	13-17	6-9	2-2	6	6	2	0	34
Devin Royal	F	37	4-15	1-6	6-6	3	1	0	0	15
Christoph Tilly	C	31	4-10	0-4	5-7	8	1	1	1	13
John Mobley Jr.	G	31	4-11	1-6	2-6	2	1	0	0	11
Brandon Noel	F	21	2-4	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Amare Bynum	F	21	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Colin White	F	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Gabe Cupps	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ivan Njegovan	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.6Possessions69.6

126.4Offensive Efficiency114.9

114.9Defensive Efficiency126.4

11.5Net Efficiency-11.5

54.6%Effective FG%53.3%

63.6%True Shooting %56.4%

13.0%Turnover Rate8.6%

59.3%Free Throw Rate34.4%

50.0%3-Point Rate45.9%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.83

Game Summary

Illinois won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 69.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.