South Carolina Upstate

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.1%South Carolina Upstate

94.9%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -18.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.7

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -1861

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Carolina Upstate 67

Projected Total151.7

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 85

Team Comparison

South Carolina UpstateMetricNorth Carolina

43.6MMH Power Index65.2

104.5Offensive Efficiency115.5

103.7Defensive Efficiency103.8

0.8Net Efficiency11.7

-3.8Strength of Schedule7.6

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

71.1Tempo69.0

50.3%Effective FG%54.6%

17.6%Turnover Rate13.9%

30.1%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

34.0%Free Throw Rate38.1%

0.6Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–43.6), offensive efficiency (115.5–104.5), net efficiency (11.7–0.8), strength of schedule (7.6–-3.8).

South Carolina Upstate COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–103.8).

Final

South Carolina Upstate

62—80

North Carolina

North Carolina by 18 • 64.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South Carolina UpstateTEAM STATNorth Carolina

25-66FG28-55

38.0%FG%51.0%

10-273PT10-23

37.0%3PT%43.0%

2-3FT14-22

67.0%FT%64.0%

34Rebounds37

11Offensive Rebounds7

12Assists20

7Turnovers6

2Steals5

2Blocks3

15Fouls5

Player Box Score

South Carolina Upstate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Learic Davis	F	22	5-8	2-5	2-2	3	0	1	0	14
Mason Bendinger	G	33	6-17	1-4	0-1	3	1	1	0	13
Karmani Gregory	G	26	4-15	1-5	0-0	1	2	0	0	9
Isaiah Skinner	G	22	3-5	3-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	9
Tyler Smith	G	33	3-6	2-2	0-0	6	6	0	0	8
Carmelo Adkins	G	25	2-10	1-7	0-0	2	2	0	0	5
Jafeth Martinez	F	28	2-4	0-0	0-0	9	1	0	2	4
Coen Collier	C	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Wilson	F	32	6-7	1-1	7-13	11	3	1	2	20
Jonathan Powell	G	24	6-9	3-6	2-3	1	0	2	0	17
Luka Bogavac	G	32	6-11	3-6	0-0	5	5	0	0	15
Henri Veesaar	C	30	5-11	1-3	3-4	9	2	2	0	14
Jarin Stevenson	F	23	1-3	0-1	2-2	4	1	0	0	4
Derek Dixon	G	21	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	4	0	0	3
Jaydon Young	G	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Kyan Evans	G	23	1-5	0-1	0-0	2	5	0	0	2
James Brown	F	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Zayden High	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.0Possessions64.0

96.9Offensive Efficiency125.0

125.0Defensive Efficiency96.9

-28.1Net Efficiency28.1

45.5%Effective FG%60.0%

46.0%True Shooting %61.1%

11.0%Turnover Rate9.3%

4.5%Free Throw Rate40.0%

40.9%3-Point Rate41.8%

1.71Assist / Turnover3.33

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 64.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.