Texas Tech

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.9%Texas Tech

71.1%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -6.4

PROJECTED TOTAL167.1

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -246

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas Tech 80

Projected Total167.1

Projected ScoreArkansas 87

Team Comparison

Texas TechMetricArkansas

65.8MMH Power Index69.3

117.8Offensive Efficiency122.2

107.2Defensive Efficiency109.8

10.6Net Efficiency12.4

9.4Strength of Schedule8.6

0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

68.1Tempo73.8

56.4%Effective FG%56.4%

15.8%Turnover Rate12.2%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

28.2%Free Throw Rate36.5%

7.2Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–65.8), offensive efficiency (122.2–117.8), net efficiency (12.4–10.6), recent form (3.4–0.9).

Texas Tech COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.2–109.8), strength of schedule (9.4–8.6), offensive rebounding (32.6–31.8).

Final

Texas Tech

86—93

Arkansas

Arkansas by 7 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas TechTEAM STATArkansas

35-69FG33-63

51.0%FG%52.0%

13-313PT10-19

42.0%3PT%53.0%

3-10FT17-26

30.0%FT%65.0%

33Rebounds40

14Offensive Rebounds16

21Assists18

7Turnovers7

4Steals6

4Blocks6

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Texas Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JT Toppin	F	40	14-22	0-1	2-7	11	0	2	3	30
Christian Anderson	G	40	10-17	5-11	1-3	4	11	0	0	26
LeJuan Watts	F	33	3-10	2-3	0-0	4	5	0	0	8
Tyeree Bryan	G	32	3-7	2-5	0-0	4	4	0	1	8
Jaylen Petty	G	29	3-8	2-6	0-0	6	1	1	0	8
Donovan Atwell	G	26	2-5	2-5	0-0	0	0	1	0	6

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trevon Brazile	F	32	8-13	4-5	4-4	10	0	0	2	24
Karter Knox	G	35	8-11	3-4	1-3	6	1	2	2	20
Darius Acuff Jr.	G	34	7-14	2-5	4-6	4	8	0	1	20
Malique Ewin	F	18	4-5	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	1	9
Meleek Thomas	G	24	2-8	1-4	3-3	2	2	1	0	8
Billy Richmond III	G	18	1-5	0-0	4-4	3	4	2	0	6
D.J. Wagner	G	28	2-5	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	4
Nick Pringle	F	11	1-2	0-0	0-4	4	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

129.1Offensive Efficiency139.6

139.6Defensive Efficiency129.1

-10.5Net Efficiency10.5

60.1%Effective FG%60.3%

58.3%True Shooting %61.7%

10.5%Turnover Rate10.6%

14.5%Free Throw Rate41.3%

44.9%3-Point Rate30.2%

3.00Assist / Turnover2.57

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.