Chattanooga

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.1%Chattanooga

92.9%Auburn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -15.5

PROJECTED TOTAL160.6

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -1308

Auburn

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreChattanooga 73

Projected Total160.6

Projected ScoreAuburn 88

Team Comparison

ChattanoogaMetricAuburn

45.9MMH Power Index64.4

112.7Offensive Efficiency118.8

110.5Defensive Efficiency113.0

2.2Net Efficiency5.8

-4.4Strength of Schedule7.5

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

68.1Tempo69.8

55.1%Effective FG%53.1%

14.1%Turnover Rate14.5%

23.5%Offensive Rebound %36.5%

29.2%Free Throw Rate43.8%

1.4Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–45.9), offensive efficiency (118.8–112.7), net efficiency (5.8–2.2), strength of schedule (7.5–-4.4).

Chattanooga COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.5–113.0), shooting efficiency (55.1–53.1), ball security (14.1–14.5).

Final

Chattanooga

78—92

Auburn

Auburn by 14 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ChattanoogaTEAM STATAuburn

27-59FG26-53

46.0%FG%49.0%

7-203PT11-30

35.0%3PT%37.0%

17-20FT29-37

85.0%FT%78.0%

20Rebounds42

4Offensive Rebounds14

17Assists17

6Turnovers13

10Steals1

—Blocks3

24Fouls17

Player Box Score

Chattanooga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jordan Frison	G	33	6-12	0-2	8-10	4	6	1	20
Teddy Washington Jr.	G	32	6-11	1-2	3-3	2	1	5	16
Billy Smith	G	36	6-13	2-8	0-0	3	3	1	14
Tate Darner	G	15	3-6	3-4	0-0	2	3	0	9
Josh Bowman	F	16	3-4	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	8
Brennan Watkins	G	32	1-8	1-4	4-4	2	2	1	7
Makai Richards	C	20	1-4	0-0	0-1	1	0	2	2
Jikari Johnson	G	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Houston Holland	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keyshawn Hall	F	36	5-9	1-5	11-14	11	6	0	1	22
Tahaad Pettiford	G	30	5-11	5-9	5-6	1	2	0	0	20
Elyjah Freeman	G	33	7-13	2-6	3-3	7	0	1	0	19
KeShawn Murphy	F	22	3-6	0-2	3-4	9	0	0	2	9
Sebastian Williams-Adams	F	33	2-6	0-2	4-6	4	5	0	0	8
Simon Walker	G	6	2-2	2-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Filip Jovic	F	16	0-1	0-0	3-4	5	0	0	0	3
Kaden Magwood	G	13	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	3
Kevin Overton	G	11	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

111.3Offensive Efficiency131.2

131.2Defensive Efficiency111.3

-20.0Net Efficiency20.0

51.7%Effective FG%59.4%

56.9%True Shooting %65.2%

8.5%Turnover Rate18.7%

33.9%Free Throw Rate69.8%

33.9%3-Point Rate56.6%

2.83Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

Auburn won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.