Indiana

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.2%Indiana

75.8%Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKentucky -7.6

PROJECTED TOTAL155.3

MODEL MONEYLINEKentucky -313

Kentucky

22-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana 74

Projected Total155.3

Projected ScoreKentucky 81

Team Comparison

IndianaMetricKentucky

58.2MMH Power Index63.9

116.0Offensive Efficiency115.2

107.1Defensive Efficiency106.3

8.9Net Efficiency8.9

5.2Strength of Schedule8.7

-7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

67.4Tempo69.9

56.0%Effective FG%53.2%

15.1%Turnover Rate15.4%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

35.8%Free Throw Rate38.0%

6.0Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMKentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.9–58.2), defensive efficiency (106.3–107.1), strength of schedule (8.7–5.2), recent form (-1.0–-7.7).

Indiana COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.0–115.2), shooting efficiency (56.0–53.2), ball security (15.1–15.4).

Final

Indiana

60—72

Kentucky

Kentucky by 12 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IndianaTEAM STATKentucky

15-44FG22-58

34.0%FG%38.0%

4-243PT3-15

17.0%3PT%20.0%

26-29FT25-38

90.0%FT%66.0%

37Rebounds34

8Offensive Rebounds14

8Assists10

18Turnovers4

2Steals13

3Blocks4

24Fouls18

Player Box Score

Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tucker DeVries	F	35	4-13	1-9	6-6	7	3	1	1	15
Lamar Wilkerson	G	22	5-11	2-5	3-4	2	0	0	0	15
Tayton Conerway	G	24	3-6	1-3	4-6	1	1	0	0	11
Nick Dorn	G	22	0-3	0-3	7-7	5	0	0	0	7
Sam Alexis	F	30	3-4	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	2	6
Trent Sisley	F	26	0-3	0-2	6-6	7	1	0	0	6
Conor Enright	G	30	0-3	0-2	0-0	5	1	1	0	0
Reed Bailey	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Aleksa Ristic	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ian Stephens	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jasai Miles	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mouhamed Dioubate	F	22	4-7	0-0	6-10	12	0	5	0	14
Jaland Lowe	G	24	5-13	0-3	3-6	5	2	1	0	13
Otega Oweh	G	33	2-8	1-2	5-8	4	1	2	0	10
Denzel Aberdeen	G	25	3-7	1-1	2-4	1	0	0	0	9
Kam Williams	G	24	3-5	1-2	2-2	2	0	0	1	9
Brandon Garrison	F	21	3-6	0-2	0-0	5	2	1	1	6
Collin Chandler	G	16	1-7	0-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Trent Noah	F	11	1-3	0-2	2-2	0	2	0	0	4
Malachi Moreno	C	21	0-0	0-0	3-4	2	3	4	2	3
Jasper Johnson	G	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

89.7Offensive Efficiency107.6

107.6Defensive Efficiency89.7

-17.9Net Efficiency17.9

38.6%Effective FG%40.5%

51.9%True Shooting %47.3%

26.6%Turnover Rate6.1%

65.9%Free Throw Rate65.5%

54.5%3-Point Rate25.9%

0.44Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Kentucky won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.