Incarnate Word

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.1%Incarnate Word

89.9%TCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTCU -14.2

PROJECTED TOTAL150.5

MODEL MONEYLINETCU -890

TCU

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIncarnate Word 68

Projected Total150.5

Projected ScoreTCU 82

Team Comparison

Incarnate WordMetricTCU

44.6MMH Power Index59.7

112.0Offensive Efficiency110.2

111.2Defensive Efficiency102.7

0.8Net Efficiency7.5

-3.6Strength of Schedule4.6

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

66.3Tempo70.2

52.2%Effective FG%50.5%

16.8%Turnover Rate15.3%

34.4%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

34.0%Free Throw Rate38.3%

0.5Average Margin5.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

TCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.7–44.6), defensive efficiency (102.7–111.2), net efficiency (7.5–0.8), strength of schedule (4.6–-3.6).

Incarnate Word COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.0–110.2), shooting efficiency (52.2–50.5), offensive rebounding (34.4–33.6).

Final

Incarnate Word

65—69

TCU

TCU by 4 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Incarnate WordTEAM STATTCU

25-57FG24-51

44.0%FG%47.0%

10-233PT3-16

43.0%3PT%19.0%

5-9FT18-25

56.0%FT%72.0%

29Rebounds33

7Offensive Rebounds9

17Assists11

12Turnovers8

4Steals3

4Blocks9

18Fouls11

Player Box Score

Incarnate Word

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davion Bailey	G	38	10-22	9-18	3-5	5	1	1	0	32
Tahj Staveskie	G	38	4-11	1-2	0-0	5	5	1	0	9
Jordan Pyke	F	34	4-13	0-2	0-0	7	7	1	1	8
Esteban Mann	F	27	4-7	0-1	0-2	3	0	0	0	8
Jayden Williams	C	16	2-3	0-0	2-2	2	2	0	2	6
Lewis Rowe	C	23	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Harold Woods	G	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	0
Love Bettis	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David Punch	F	32	5-8	0-0	7-9	13	1	0	5	17
Brock Harding	G	36	5-11	1-3	2-2	2	3	0	0	13
Liutauras Lelevicius	G	32	3-5	1-2	6-6	3	1	1	0	13
Jayden Pierre	G	36	4-10	1-5	0-0	2	4	0	0	9
Xavier Edmonds	F	27	3-7	0-1	2-4	2	1	1	1	8
Micah Robinson	F	18	2-4	0-2	0-1	5	0	0	1	4
Tanner Toolson	G	17	1-3	0-2	1-2	4	1	0	2	3
Jace Posey	G	4	1-3	0-1	0-1	0	0	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

101.4Offensive Efficiency107.6

107.6Defensive Efficiency101.4

-6.2Net Efficiency6.2

52.6%Effective FG%50.0%

53.0%True Shooting %54.9%

18.1%Turnover Rate12.9%

15.8%Free Throw Rate49.0%

40.4%3-Point Rate31.4%

1.42Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

TCU won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.