Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.0%Toledo

85.0%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -12.2

PROJECTED TOTAL154.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -567

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 71

Projected Total154.8

Projected ScoreMichigan State 83

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricMichigan State

58.8MMH Power Index69.8

116.0Offensive Efficiency117.0

109.6Defensive Efficiency101.5

6.4Net Efficiency15.5

2.3Strength of Schedule7.2

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

69.8Tempo67.3

55.1%Effective FG%54.1%

14.6%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

30.3%Free Throw Rate36.6%

4.5Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–58.8), offensive efficiency (117.0–116.0), defensive efficiency (101.5–109.6), net efficiency (15.5–6.4).

Toledo COUNTERS WITHrecent form (10.2–9.5), shooting efficiency (55.1–54.1), ball security (14.6–17.2).

Final

Toledo

69—92

Michigan State

Michigan State by 23 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATMichigan State

23-64FG34-67

36.0%FG%51.0%

10-273PT10-23

37.0%3PT%43.0%

13-17FT14-19

76.0%FT%74.0%

24Rebounds54

6Offensive Rebounds18

12Assists26

4Turnovers15

11Steals3

2Blocks7

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sonny Wilson	G	35	10-15	3-4	6-8	1	5	4	0	29
Leroy Blyden Jr.	G	31	4-10	2-8	0-0	1	2	0	0	10
Sean Craig	F	24	3-11	2-4	0-0	2	2	1	0	8
London Praytor	F	10	1-3	1-2	4-4	0	1	0	1	7
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	25	2-7	1-3	0-0	3	0	2	0	5
Austin Parks	C	21	1-7	0-1	2-3	9	0	0	0	4
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	18	1-7	1-4	0-0	2	1	2	0	3
Phoenix Glassnor	G	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Will James Jr.	G	19	0-1	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	1	1
Mynor Strong	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaxon Kohler	F	22	7-13	2-3	0-0	13	3	0	1	16
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	27	4-11	1-5	6-7	3	8	0	0	15
Coen Carr	F	21	6-11	0-1	2-2	4	0	0	1	14
Kur Teng	G	17	5-9	4-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	14
Carson Cooper	C	23	2-5	0-1	4-6	9	3	1	2	8
Jesse McCulloch	F	14	3-3	1-1	0-0	8	1	0	3	7
Cam Ward	F	17	2-3	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	0	5
Trey Fort	G	7	1-2	0-1	1-2	2	1	1	0	3
Colin Walton	F	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Brennan Walton	F	1	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Divine Ugochukwu	G	17	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jordan Scott	F	17	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	3	1	0	2
Denham Wojcik	G	13	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	6	0	0	0
Nick Sanders	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

96.4Offensive Efficiency128.5

128.5Defensive Efficiency96.4

-32.1Net Efficiency32.1

43.8%Effective FG%58.2%

47.9%True Shooting %60.5%

5.7%Turnover Rate20.5%

26.6%Free Throw Rate28.4%

42.2%3-Point Rate34.3%

3.00Assist / Turnover1.73

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.