East Tennessee State

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.1%East Tennessee State

79.9%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -8.9

PROJECTED TOTAL150.9

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -398

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 71

Projected Total150.9

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 80

Team Comparison

East Tennessee StateMetricNorth Carolina

57.4MMH Power Index65.2

115.1Offensive Efficiency115.5

102.8Defensive Efficiency103.8

12.3Net Efficiency11.7

-1.6Strength of Schedule7.6

3.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

67.4Tempo69.0

55.4%Effective FG%54.6%

15.1%Turnover Rate13.9%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

35.0%Free Throw Rate38.1%

8.3Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–57.4), offensive efficiency (115.5–115.1), strength of schedule (7.6–-1.6), ball security (13.9–15.1).

East Tennessee State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.8–103.8), net efficiency (12.3–11.7), recent form (3.7–-1.8).

Final

East Tennessee State

58—77

North Carolina

North Carolina by 19 • 60.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East Tennessee StateTEAM STATNorth Carolina

20-52FG27-50

38.0%FG%54.0%

7-233PT8-25

30.0%3PT%32.0%

11-16FT15-23

69.0%FT%65.0%

23Rebounds35

6Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists18

7Turnovers7

4Steals3

2Blocks2

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brian Taylor II	G	40	4-13	1-5	5-5	5	3	0	0	14
Blake Barkley	F	25	4-8	0-2	3-5	2	1	0	0	11
Jordan McCullum	F	30	4-6	1-2	0-0	7	1	1	0	9
Jaylen Smith	G	25	3-5	2-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	8
Cam Morris III	F	30	2-11	0-3	3-6	2	2	2	2	7
Maki Johnson	G	23	2-5	2-5	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Isaiah Sutherland	F	10	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Allen Strothers	G	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	3	0	0	0
Milton Matthews III	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Henri Veesaar	C	28	10-11	2-3	4-4	8	2	0	1	26
Caleb Wilson	F	28	6-12	1-2	7-10	8	2	1	0	20
Derek Dixon	G	14	1-2	1-2	4-4	3	1	0	0	7
Kyan Evans	G	30	2-5	2-5	0-0	3	6	2	0	6
Jarin Stevenson	F	24	3-5	0-2	0-0	2	4	0	1	6
Jonathan Powell	G	24	2-8	1-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Jaydon Young	G	13	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Luka Bogavac	G	20	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
James Brown	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-5	3	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Denis	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zayden High	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
John Holbrook	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ivan Matlekovic	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Evan Smith	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Elijah Davis	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.8Possessions60.8

95.4Offensive Efficiency126.6

126.6Defensive Efficiency95.4

-31.2Net Efficiency31.3

45.2%Effective FG%62.0%

48.7%True Shooting %63.2%

11.6%Turnover Rate11.5%

30.8%Free Throw Rate46.0%

44.2%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.57Assist / Turnover2.57

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 60.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.