Illinois State

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.8%Illinois State

63.2%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL143.2

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -172

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois State 70

Projected Total143.2

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 73

Team Comparison

Illinois StateMetricSouthern Illinois

54.3MMH Power Index54.6

110.6Offensive Efficiency103.4

101.4Defensive Efficiency98.5

9.2Net Efficiency4.9

1.0Strength of Schedule1.6

-4.4Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

67.5Tempo70.6

54.3%Effective FG%49.5%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.0%

28.3%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

32.0%Free Throw Rate32.3%

6.2Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–54.3), defensive efficiency (98.5–101.4), strength of schedule (1.6–1.0), recent form (7.7–-4.4).

Illinois State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.6–103.4), net efficiency (9.2–4.9), shooting efficiency (54.3–49.5).

Final

Illinois State

75—68

Southern Illinois

Illinois State by 7 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Illinois StateTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

30-61FG26-53

49.0%FG%49.0%

8-293PT4-13

28.0%3PT%31.0%

7-18FT12-22

39.0%FT%55.0%

36Rebounds34

12Offensive Rebounds10

16Assists11

13Turnovers16

8Steals10

2Blocks1

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ty Pence	G	33	9-13	3-5	1-5	4	0	0	0	22
Chase Walker	F	31	7-13	0-2	1-5	7	5	2	0	15
Boden Skunberg	G	29	3-8	2-5	2-2	6	3	1	0	10
Landon Wolf	G	25	4-5	0-1	1-2	8	0	3	1	9
Mason Klabo	G	15	2-6	1-5	2-2	0	2	0	0	7
Johnny Kinziger	G	26	3-8	0-5	0-2	3	1	1	0	6
Ty'Reek Coleman	G	14	1-5	1-3	0-0	2	2	1	1	3
Landon Moore	G	14	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Cameron Barnes	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brandon Lieb	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Jack Daugherty	F	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quel'Ron House	G	37	11-18	0-2	0-1	4	2	2	0	22
Drew Steffe	G	33	7-13	2-7	1-5	0	2	3	0	17
Rolyns Aligbe	F	22	2-4	0-1	4-5	8	0	2	0	8
Jalen Haynes	G	14	3-5	1-2	1-3	1	2	1	0	8
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	30	1-6	0-0	4-4	2	1	2	0	6
Max Pikaar	F	21	2-2	1-1	0-0	4	2	0	1	5
Jorge Moreno	F	17	0-0	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	0	1
Isaiah Stafford	G	9	0-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Davion Sykes	G	17	0-3	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

107.0Offensive Efficiency97.0

97.0Defensive Efficiency107.0

10.0Net Efficiency-10.0

55.7%Effective FG%52.8%

53.9%True Shooting %53.6%

18.4%Turnover Rate23.0%

29.5%Free Throw Rate41.5%

47.5%3-Point Rate24.5%

1.23Assist / Turnover0.69

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.